Match Info

Premier League - Round 30

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday


	Shire Endaselassie		Ethio Electric

	1	X	2
	4.05	2.62	2.08
	4.26	2.6	2.11
	3.9	2.63	2.05
	3.92	2.88	2.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↑ (3.29)	2.68 ↑ (2.53)	2.1 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shire Endaselassie
22.6%

Draw
33.9%

Ethio Electric
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

35.6%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

34.5%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shire Endaselassie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Ethio Electric has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ethio Electric's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shire Endaselassie than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shire Endaselassie, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethio Electric than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ethio Electric, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Shire Endaselassie - Ethio Electric Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sihul Shire will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Ethio Electric will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Tesfaye A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Sihul Shire has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ethio Electric has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ethio Electric could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sihul Shire won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Sihul Shire won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Ethio Electric	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shire Endaselassie
Ethiopian Premier League
01.05.26	Bahir Dar Kenema - Shire Endaselassie	1:1 ✺
20.04.26	Shire Endaselassie - Welayta Dicha	0:1 ✺
15.04.26	Hawassa City - Shire Endaselassie	1:0 ✺
08.04.26	Shire Endaselassie - Dire Dawa City	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Mechal - Shire Endaselassie	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLLLT
- Ethio Electric SC
Ethiopian Premier League
29.04.26	Ethio Electric - Mechal	0:1 ✺
20.04.26	Ethio Electric - Ethiopian Medhin	1:1 ✺
14.04.26	Adama City - Ethio Electric	0:1 ✺
08.04.26	Saint George - Ethio Electric	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Ethio Electric - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
25.12.25	Ethio Electric - Shire Endaselassie	1:0
09.03.25	Ethio Electric - Shire Endaselassie	1:0
06.12.24	Shire Endaselassie - Ethio Electric	0:0

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