Match Info

Premier League - Round 29

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday


	Bahir Dar Kenema		Shire Endaselassie

	1	X	2
	2	2.72	4.15
	2.04	2.68	4.38
	2.10	2.69	4.30	Watch
	2.05	2.6	3.9
	2.02	2.67	4.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 (2.04)	2.67 ↓ (2.9)	4.21 ↑ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahir Dar Kenema
44.5%

Draw
34%

Shire Endaselassie
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

31.7%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

31.1%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahir Dar Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Shire Endaselassie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahir Dar Kenema than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shire Endaselassie than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Bahir Dar Kenema - Shire Endaselassie Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Dejene T. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Christos S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Bahir Dar has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sihul Shire is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Bahir Dar is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bahir Dar won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.5:0).

Including home matches between the teams, Bahir Dar won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Bahir Dar Kenema	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Bahir Dar Kenema - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.07%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bahir Dar Kenema
Ethiopian Premier League
20.04.26	Bahir Dar Kenema - Sheger Ketema	0:2 ✺
15.04.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:1 ✺
10.04.26	Bahir Dar Kenema - Adama City	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Ethio Electric - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:0 ✺
13.03.26	Saint George - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LTWTW
- Shire Endaselassie
Ethiopian Premier League
20.04.26	Shire Endaselassie - Welayta Dicha	0:1 ✺
15.04.26	Hawassa City - Shire Endaselassie	1:0 ✺
08.04.26	Shire Endaselassie - Dire Dawa City	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Mechal - Shire Endaselassie	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Sidama Coffee - Shire Endaselassie	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
19.12.25	Shire Endaselassie - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:0
04.04.25	Bahir Dar Kenema - Shire Endaselassie	0:0
26.11.24	Shire Endaselassie - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:2

Bahir Dar Kenema - Shire Endaselassie: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide