Match Info

Premier League - Round 28

Date: 20 April 2026, Monday


	Ethio Electric		Ethiopian Medhin

	1	X	2
	2.82	2.48	2.82
	3.14	2.62	3.15
	3.01	2.37	3.01	Watch
	2.8	2.38	2.88
	2.78	2.54	2.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (3.04)	2.48 ↓ (2.75)	2.93 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethio Electric
31.6%

Draw
37.1%

Ethiopian Medhin
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

33.5%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

32.3%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethio Electric has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Ethiopian Medhin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethio Electric than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopian Medhin than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Ethio Electric - Ethiopian Medhin Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ethio Electric will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Hussien H. 🟥,
64', Ganiyu I. 🟥,
67', 1 - 0, Bezabih M. ⚽,
84', 1 - 1, Erbo A. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 17).

Ethio Electric is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ethiopian Medhin's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ethio Electric won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ethio Electric won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Ethio Electric	38	13	15	10	32:26	6	54
14	Ethiopian Insurance	38	10	16	12	30:31	-1	46

Last Results with these Odds

Ethio Electric - the odds 3.04 are the expected chance of winning is 30.28%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Ethiopian Medhin - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.24%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethio Electric SC
Ethiopian Premier League
14.04.26	Adama City - Ethio Electric	0:1 ✺
08.04.26	Saint George - Ethio Electric	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Ethio Electric - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Ethio Electric	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Ethio Electric - Ethiopia Bunna	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WLTWW
- Ethiopian Medhin
Ethiopian Premier League
15.04.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:1 ✺
09.04.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Ethiopian Medhin	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Ethiopia Bunna	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Arba Minch - Ethiopian Medhin	0:2 ✺
09.03.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Hadiya Hossana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
05.12.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Ethio Electric	1:1
22.04.25	Ethio Electric - Ethiopian Medhin	0:2
30.09.24	Ethiopian Medhin - Ethio Electric	0:0
03.05.23	Ethio Electric - Ethiopian Medhin	1:2
11.11.22	Ethiopian Medhin - Ethio Electric	2:0

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