Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 25

Date: 4 January 2025, Saturday


	Sholing		Swindon Supermarine

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	2.6
	2.18	3.7	2.7
	2.18	3.84	2.84
	2.3	3.75	2.5
	2.11	3.6	2.88
	2.18	3.7	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.03)	3.7 ↓ (3.7)	2.7 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sholing
41.7%

Draw
24.6%

Swindon Supermarine
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

24.7%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

24.2%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sholing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Swindon Supermarine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sholing than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Supermarine than the current prediction. (-4%)

Sholing - Swindon Supermarine Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
4', 0 - 1, Sims-Burgess D. ⚽,
10', 0 - 2, Fernandes M. ⚽,
25', 1 - 2, Akinola R. ⚽,
43', 1 - 3, Fernandes M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
50', 2 - 3, Rabbetts J. ⚽,
62', 2 - 4, ⚽,
80', 3 - 4, Lopes F. ⚽,
86', 3 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 14).

Recent matches Sholing is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Swindon Supermarine has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Swindon Supermarine could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sholing won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 1.7:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Sholing won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sholing
English Southern League South Division
01.01.25	Gosport Borough - Sholing	4:1 ✺
28.12.24	Marlow - Sholing	2:3 ✺
26.12.24	Sholing - Wimborne Town	0:1 ✺
21.12.24	Totton - Sholing	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Sholing - Plymouth Parkway	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLLW
- Swindon Supermarine
English Southern League South Division
01.01.25	Swindon Supermarine - Hungerford Town	1:3 ✺
28.12.24	Swindon Supermarine - Hanwell Town	2:2 ✺
26.12.24	Gloucester City - Swindon Supermarine	3:1 ✺
14.12.24	Frome Town - Swindon Supermarine	3:0 ✺
30.11.24	Totton - Swindon Supermarine	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
10.08.24	Swindon Supermarine - Sholing	1:2
20.04.24	Sholing - Swindon Supermarine	3:0
11.11.23	Swindon Supermarine - Sholing	0:0

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