Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 23

Date: 28 December 2024, Saturday


	Swindon Supermarine		Hanwell Town

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.6	2.65
	2.15	3.7	2.75
	2.19	3.72	2.78
	2.21	3.92	2.8	Watch
	2.1	3.75	2.62
	2.15	3.68	2.76
	2.15	3.7	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.21)	3.72 ↑ (3.64)	2.73 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swindon Supermarine
42.3%

Draw
24.4%

Hanwell Town
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

25.1%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

23.2%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swindon Supermarine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Hanwell Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Supermarine than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hanwell Town than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Swindon Supermarine - Hanwell Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 1 - 0, Richards I. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Edwards J. ⚽,
38', 1 - 2, Edwards J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 14).

Swindon Supermarine is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hanwell Town has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Swindon Supermarine could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Hanwell Town have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Swindon Supermarine won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.4:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Swindon Supermarine won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swindon Supermarine
English Southern League South Division
26.12.24	Gloucester City - Swindon Supermarine	3:1 ✺
14.12.24	Frome Town - Swindon Supermarine	3:0 ✺
30.11.24	Totton - Swindon Supermarine	2:1 ✺
23.11.24	Swindon Supermarine - Marlow	3:1 ✺
16.11.24	Swindon Supermarine - Plymouth Parkway	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWT
- Hanwell Town
English Southern League South Division
26.12.24	Hanwell Town - Chertsey Town	1:2 ✺
20.12.24	Bracknell Town - Hanwell Town	4:1 ✺
14.12.24	Hanwell Town - Gosport Borough	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
10.12.24	Hanwell Town - Eastleigh	1:2 ✺
English Southern League South Division
03.12.24	Hanwell Town - Frome Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
17.08.24	Hanwell Town - Swindon Supermarine	1:0
24.02.24	Hanwell Town - Swindon Supermarine	1:2
21.10.23	Swindon Supermarine - Hanwell Town	1:1
25.03.23	Hanwell Town - Swindon Supermarine	1:3
26.10.22	Swindon Supermarine - Hanwell Town	1:1

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