Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 22

Date: 26 December 2024, Thursday


	Gloucester City		Swindon Supermarine

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.33	4.4
	1.52	4.5	4.6
	1.54	4.76	4.41
	1.56	4.73	4.69	Watch
	1.67	3.8	4
	1.51	4.4	4.79
	1.52	4.5	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.67)	4.43 ↑ (3.95)	4.5 ↑ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gloucester City
59.1%

Draw
20.6%

Swindon Supermarine
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

23.2%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

22.3%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloucester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Swindon Supermarine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Supermarine than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Gloucester City - Swindon Supermarine Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Campbell R. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Pinchard H. ⚽,
45', 2 - 1, Phillips K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 3 - 1, Phillips K. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: ) and 10).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Swindon Supermarine could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gloucester is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gloucester won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloucester City
English Southern League South Division
21.12.24	Plymouth Parkway - Gloucester City	6:0 ✺
14.12.24	Gloucester City - Chertsey Town	3:1 ✺
30.11.24	Gloucester City - Poole Town	4:1 ✺
23.11.24	Walton & Hersham - Gloucester City	4:4 ✺
16.11.24	Gloucester City - Bracknell Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWTL
- Swindon Supermarine
English Southern League South Division
14.12.24	Frome Town - Swindon Supermarine	3:0 ✺
30.11.24	Totton - Swindon Supermarine	2:1 ✺
23.11.24	Swindon Supermarine - Marlow	3:1 ✺
16.11.24	Swindon Supermarine - Plymouth Parkway	2:2 ✺
09.11.24	Chertsey Town - Swindon Supermarine	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
12.07.22	Swindon Supermarine - Gloucester City	1:1
17.07.21	Swindon Supermarine - Gloucester City	0:2

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