The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vegalta Sendai 41.5%
Draw 29.6%
Kataller Toyama 28.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.5%
27.1%
24.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.2%
26.2%
23.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vegalta Sendai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vegalta Sendai's form might have worsened.
Kataller Toyama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vegalta Sendai than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vegalta Sendai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kataller Toyama, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Vegalta Sendai - Kataller Toyama Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Hayashi A. (G) 3. Okuyama M. 5. Sugata M. 19. Mateus Moraes 2. Igarashi S. 6. Matsui R. 42. Ishii H. 8. Takeda H. 10. Kamada H. 20. Nakada Y. 27. Iwabuchi H.
1. Hirao T. (G) 13. Fukazawa S. 56. Okamoto S. 23. Nishiya S. 33. Takahashi Y. 20. Jung Woo-Young 14. Tanimoto S. 28. Fuseya S. 42. Kim T. 9. Yoshihira T. 39. Furukawa M.
Substitutes
7. Araki S. 34. Furuya A. 55. Han Ho-gang 1. Hotta D. (G) 44. Inoue S. 15. Minami S. 37. Sugiyama Y. 18. Umeki T. 40. Yasuno T.
31. Koh Bong-jo (G) 10. Matsuda R. 8. Matsuoka D. 32. Mizoguchi S. 30. Nakashima Y. 11. Ogawa K. 19. Saneto Y. 34. Takenaka G. 15. Tsuboi K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Nakada Y. ⚽, Kamada H. (A),
41', Iwabuchi H. 🟨,
41', Jung Woo-Young 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Nishiya S. ↓, Mizoguchi S. ↑,
62', Matsui R. 🟨,
66', Iwabuchi H. ↓, Araki S. ↑,
66', Nakada Y. ↓, Furuya A. ↑,
66', Yoshihira T. ↓, Ogawa K. ↑,
66', Furukawa M. ↓, Tsuboi K. ↑,
73', Takahashi Y. ↓, Takenaka G. ↑,
73', Kim T. ↓, Matsuoka D. ↑,
76', Okuyama M. ↓, Inoue S. ↑,
76', Takeda H. ↓, Sugiyama Y. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, Fukazawa S. ⚽, Takenaka G. (A),
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Matsui R. ↓, Umeki T. ↑,
93', Tanimoto S. ↓, Saneto Y. ↑,
98', Ishii H. ↓, Minami S. ↑,
120+4', Umeki T. ↓, Yasuno T. ↑,
120+4', Fukazawa S. ↓, Matsuda R. ↑,
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, Sugata M. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Tsuboi K. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Yasuno T. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Fuseya S. (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Sendai is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Kataller Toyama has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Sendai could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sendai won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Sendai won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Vegalta Sendai - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 48.51%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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Hayashi A. (G) 
Mateus Moraes 
Jung Woo-Young 
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