The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sagan Tosu 44.3%
Draw 29.9%
Shonan Bellmare 25.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.7%
28%
29.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.6%
25.3%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sagan Tosu that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shonan Bellmare could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
14.3%
14.3%
Sagan Tosu - Shonan Bellmare Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Tosu will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Izumori R. (G) 5. Nagasawa S. 4. Imazu Y. 33. Ogawa S. 22. Yuba K. 2. Matsumoto N. 6. Sakurai T. 7. Sakamoto K. 18. Hyon R. 16. Nishizawa K. 88. Shiohama R.
99. Kamifukumoto N. (G) 5. Matsumoto H. 4. Tachi K. 3. Hakamata Y. 18. Ikeda M. 86. Kase N. 16. Arthur Feitoza 7. Onose K. 13. Shimoguchi W. 28. Ota S. 34. Yamada H.
Substitutes
26. Ando T. 47. Izawa R. 3. Kamiyama K. 12. Matsubara S. (G) 41. Matsuoka H. 8. Narahara Y. 15. Sakai N. 29. Tanaka Y. 20. Toyoda A.
15. Fujii T. 27. Fukushima H. 22. Minoda K. 55. Okaniwa S. 25. Okuno H. 31. Sanada K. (G) 14. Takahashi N. 29. Watanabe K. 30. Yamaguchi G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Arthur Feitoza 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Ota S. ↓, Watanabe K. ↑,
62', Kase N. ↓, Fukushima H. ↑,
79', Arthur Feitoza ↓, Takahashi N. ↑,
79', Onose K. ↓, Fujii T. ↑,
80', Hyon R. ↓, Izawa R. ↑,
82', Matsumoto N. ↓, Toyoda A. ↑,
88', 1 - 0, Sakamoto K. ⚽,
89', Tachi K. ↓, Yamaguchi G. ↑,
90+1', Sakamoto K. ↓, Ando T. ↑,
90+1', Shiohama R. ↓, Sakai N. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tosu won 1.
Tosu has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Shonan Bellmare's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Tosu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tosu won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:29. (average 1.2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Tosu won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 0.7:1.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Shonan Bellmare - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 29.35%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Izumori R. (G) 
Arthur Feitoza 
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