Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 16

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Lemon Gas Stadium (Hiratsuka)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Shonan Bellmare		Yokohama FC

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3	2.55
	2.78	3.2	2.28	Watch
	2.95	3.46	2.22
	2.59	3.55	2.49	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.1
	2.86	3.28	2.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.52)	3.3 ↓ (3.34)	2.32 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shonan Bellmare
33.1%

Draw
27.6%

Yokohama FC
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

27.8%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

27.6%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Yokohama FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama FC than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Shonan Bellmare - Yokohama FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Kamifukumoto N. (G) 5. Matsumoto H. 3. Hakamata Y. 13. Shimoguchi W. 37. Suzuki Y. 18. Ikeda M. 6. Takeda S. 20. Ishibashi S. 7. Onose K. 15. Fujii T. 29. Watanabe K.	21. Ichikawa A. (G) 22. Iwatake K. 19. Sugita H. 5. Hosoi K. 13. Kubota R. 7. Yamada K. 77. Takae L. 48. Shimbo K. 10. Joao Paulo 78. Iwasaki R. 9. Lukian
Substitutes
27. Fukushima H. 77. Ishii H. 86. Kase N. 22. Minoda K. 55. Okaniwa S. 25. Okuno H. 28. Ota S. 31. Sanada K. (G) 14. Takahashi N.	90. Adailton 39. Endo T. 24. Hata J. 42. Ishii R. (G) 16. Ito M. 49. Komazawa N. 3. Suzuki J. 14. Takashio H. 35. Uda K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', Okaniwa S. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Hosoi K. ⚽, Takae L. (A),
45+4', Iwatake K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Onose K. 🟨,
60', Okaniwa S. ↓, Kase N. ↑,
60', Onose K. ↓, Ishii H. ↑,
61', Kase N. 🟨,
72', Kubota R. ↓, Suzuki J. ↑,
72', Takae L. ↓, Uda K. ↑,
73', Fujii T. ↓, Ota S. ↑,
73', Takeda S. ↓, Okuno H. ↑,
84', Shimbo K. ↓, Ito M. ↑,
85', Ikeda M. ↓, Takahashi N. ↑,
89', Iwasaki R. ↓, Komazawa N. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:17. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Shonan Bellmare won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shonan Bellmare
Japan J2 J3 League
06.05.26	Vanraure Hachinohe - Shonan Bellmare	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Shonan Bellmare - Tochigi City	1:2 ✺
29.04.26	Tochigi - Shonan Bellmare	1:2 penalties ✺
25.04.26	Sagamihara - Shonan Bellmare	1:2 penalties ✺
18.04.26	Shonan Bellmare - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWWL
- Yokohama FC
Japan J2 J3 League
06.05.26	Tochigi City - Yokohama FC	2:3 penalties ✺
02.05.26	Yokohama FC - Sagamihara	3:4 penalties ✺
29.04.26	Yokohama FC - Vanraure Hachinohe	4:1 ✺
25.04.26	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Yokohama FC	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	Blaublitz Akita - Yokohama FC	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
28.03.26	Yokohama FC - Shonan Bellmare	1:3
Japan J1 League
28.09.25	Yokohama FC - Shonan Bellmare	1:0
17.05.25	Shonan Bellmare - Yokohama FC	0:1
25.11.23	Yokohama FC - Shonan Bellmare	0:1
24.02.23	Shonan Bellmare - Yokohama FC	2:2
23.10.21	Shonan Bellmare - Yokohama FC	2:1
15.05.21	Yokohama FC - Shonan Bellmare	2:0

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