Match Info

J2 League - Round 13

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lemon Gas Stadium (Hiratsuka) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
China	17:00	K-Ball
Japan	18:00	DAZN Japan


	Shonan Bellmare		Tochigi City

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.60	3.25	Watch
	1.98	3.50	3.00
	2.12	3.40	3.00	Watch
	2.12	3.80	3.22
	2.08	3.84	3.1	Watch
	2.08	3.70	3.15
	2.06	3.61	3.26	Watch
	2.03	3.70	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.12)	3.64 ↑ (3.5)	3.14 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shonan Bellmare
45%

Draw
25.5%

Tochigi City
29.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.2%

26.2%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

25.5%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shonan Bellmare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Tochigi City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi City than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	80%	20%

Shonan Bellmare - Tochigi City Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tochigi City will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Sanada K. (G) 13. Shimoguchi W. 4. Tachi K. 3. Hakamata Y. 2. Matsumura S. 30. Yamaguchi G. 26. Fukazawa Y. 6. Takeda S. (C) 17. Tamura S. 19. Nishino T. 25. Okuno H.	1. Harada Y. (G) 5. Okui R. (C) 17. Chinen T. 3. Teruyama H. 33. Inui T. 10. Okaniwa Y. 6. Kato Jo 24. Nishiya K. 23. Yoshida A. 99. Hiraoka M. 11. Vasquez B.
Substitutes
9. Gonzalez F. 20. Ishibashi S. 77. Ishii H. 38. Kozuki S. 5. Matsumoto H. 36. Matsumura H. 21. Nagai T. (G) 8. Ono K. 7. Onose K.	18. Kato M. 16. Kodama J. (G) 32. Koike Y. 88. Masukake Y. 7. Mori T. 93. Nguen T. 20. Pedro Augusto 15. Sato Y. 31. Simmons A.
Coaches
Nagasawa T.	Imaya N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Hiraoka M. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Yoshida A. ⚽, Chinen T. (A),
40', Hiraoka M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Tamura S. ↓, Kozuki S. ↑,
46', Yamaguchi G. ↓, Onose K. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Nishino T. ⚽, Takeda S. (A),
57', Fukazawa Y. 🟨,
63', Okuno H. ↓, Ishii H. ↑,
69', Okui R. ↓, Simmons A. ↑,
69', Vasquez B. ↓, Koike Y. ↑,
70', Fukazawa Y. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Matsumura S. ⚽, Kozuki S. (A),
80', Kato Jo ↓, Pedro Augusto ↑,
80', Yoshida A. ↓, Nguen T. ↑,
84', Nishino T. ↓, Ishibashi S. ↑,
85', Okaniwa Y. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
89', Teruyama H. 🟨,
90+2', Inui T. 🟨,
90+3', Teruyama H. 🟨,
90+4', Kozuki S. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 6th in the Promotion - J2 League (Promotion: ) and 18th in the Relegation - J3 League).

Shonan Bellmare has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Tochigi City is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Tochigi City could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Tochigi City has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Shonan Bellmare is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Shonan Bellmare has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:3 (averaging 2:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Shonan Bellmare against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Shonan Bellmare	13	5	7	1	15:12	3	22
18	Tochigi City	13	3	3	7	20:22	-2	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shonan Bellmare
Japan J2 League
21.10.26	Shonan Bellmare - Iwaki	1:1 ✺
17.10.26	Kataller Toyama - Shonan Bellmare	1:1 ✺
11.10.26	Shonan Bellmare - Albirex Niigata	1:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
07.10.26	Tokyo - Shonan Bellmare	4:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
03.10.26	Fujieda MYFC - Shonan Bellmare	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TTTLT
- Tochigi City FC
Japan J2 League
21.10.26	Tochigi City - Fujieda MYFC	2:2 ✺
17.10.26	Tochigi City - Yokohama FC	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Ventforet Kofu - Tochigi City	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Tochigi City - Imabari	1:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
29.09.26	Tochigi City - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
02.05.26	Shonan Bellmare - Tochigi City	1:2
28.02.26	Tochigi City - Shonan Bellmare	1:3

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