Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 14

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: MNHK Spring Mitsuzawa Football Stadium (Yokohama)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Yokohama FC		Sagamihara

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.65	3.5	4.45	Watch
	1.76	3.64	4.69
	1.7	3.67	4.79	Watch
	1.62	3.5	4.5
	1.63	3.62	4.77	Watch
	1.68	3.6	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.68)	3.59 ↓ (3.6)	4.66 ↓ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yokohama FC
54.8%

Draw
25.5%

Sagamihara
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

25.6%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

24.9%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yokohama FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Sagamihara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama FC than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Yokohama FC - Sagamihara Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Yokohama FC will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Ichikawa A. (G) 24. Hata J. 19. Sugita H. 5. Hosoi K. 39. Endo T. 7. Yamada K. 77. Takae L. 48. Shimbo K. 10. Joao Paulo 26. Yokoyama A. 9. Lukian	21. Kim Min-ho (G) 19. Okita S. 3. Pytlik K. 37. Yamauchi R. 2. Watahiki K. 4. Shimakawa T. 17. Takeuchi T. 10. Nakayama R. 7. Tanahashi A. 24. Sugimoto R. 9. Sasaki K.
Substitutes
90. Adailton 42. Ishii R. (G) 16. Ito M. 78. Iwasaki R. 13. Kubota R. 18. Mori K. 25. Shunki M. 14. Takashio H. 35. Uda K.	14. Ando T. 8. Kambe K. 20. Kawabata Y. 15. Maeda T. 1. Miura M. (G) 16. Takano R. 23. Takusari Y. 13. Tokida M. 6. Tokunaga Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
21', 0 - 1, Nakayama R. ⚽, Tanahashi A. (A),
27', 0 - 2, Watahiki K. ⚽,
29', Hata J. 🟨,
32', 0 - 3, Okita S. ⚽, Nakayama R. (A),
43', Yamauchi R. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
57', 1 - 3, Sugita H. ⚽, Shimbo K. (A),
58', Endo T. ↓, Kubota R. ↑,
58', Hata J. ↓, Adailton ↑,
63', Pytlik K. ↓, Tokida M. ↑,
63', Sasaki K. ↓, Kawabata Y. ↑,
63', Nakayama R. ↓, Maeda T. ↑,
63', Takae L. ↓, Uda K. ↑,
70', 2 - 3, Joao Paulo ⚽,
79', Sugimoto R. ↓, Takano R. ↑,
79', Shimakawa T. ↓, Takusari Y. ↑,
82', Yokoyama A. ↓, Iwasaki R. ↑,
86', Tokida M. 🟨,
90', Takeuchi T. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 3, Sugita H. ⚽,
90+5', Tanahashi A. 🟨,
Penalties (1 - 3)
1, Lukian (Penalty Awarded),
1, Yamauchi R. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Iwasaki R. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Kawabata Y. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Adailton (Penalty Awarded),
3, Maeda T. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Yamada K. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Yokohama FC is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Yokohama FC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yokohama FC
Japan J2 J3 League
29.04.26	Yokohama FC - Vanraure Hachinohe	4:1 ✺
25.04.26	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Yokohama FC	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	Blaublitz Akita - Yokohama FC	1:3 ✺
12.04.26	Montedio Yamagata - Yokohama FC	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Yokohama FC - Blaublitz Akita	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWLL
- SC Sagamihara
Japan J2 J3 League
29.04.26	Sagamihara - Tochigi City	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Sagamihara - Shonan Bellmare	1:2 penalties ✺
19.04.26	Tochigi - Sagamihara	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Sagamihara - Vegalta Sendai	0:3 ✺
04.04.26	Tochigi City - Sagamihara	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
21.03.26	Sagamihara - Yokohama FC	2:4

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