Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 13

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Kanseki Stadium Tochigi (Utsunomiya)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Tochigi		Shonan Bellmare

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.3	3.1	2
	3.15	3.2	2.08
	3.3	3.32	2.19
	3.45	3.42	2.05	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2
	3.26	3.26	2.19	Watch
	3.3	3.2	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (2.95)	3.24 ↓ (3.25)	2.09 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tochigi
27.9%

Draw
28.2%

Shonan Bellmare
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

28.4%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

27.2%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tochigi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Shonan Bellmare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Tochigi - Shonan Bellmare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Shikano S. (G) 26. Tabata T. 88. Uchida K. 25. Iwasaki H. 6. Abe K. 47. Yoshino H. 40. Meshino S. 13. Osone K. 81. Nakano K. 27. Nagai T. 9. Kondo Y.	99. Kamifukumoto N. (G) 13. Shimoguchi W. 22. Minoda K. 3. Hakamata Y. 37. Suzuki Y. 25. Okuno H. 6. Takeda S. 15. Fujii T. 17. Tamura S. 77. Ishii H. 34. Yamada H.
Substitutes
71. Inokoshi Y. (G) 7. Kawana R. 37. Kimura Y. 4. Sato S. 19. Shoji H. 17. Sugimori K. 24. Tabata R. 5. Yanagi Y. 29. Yano K.	16. Arthur Feitoza 9. Gonzalez F. 18. Ikeda M. 20. Ishibashi S. 86. Kase N. 5. Matsumoto H. 7. Onose K. 28. Ota S. 31. Sanada K. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Kondo Y. ⚽, Nakano K. (A),
35', Osone K. 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Fujii T. ⚽, Tamura S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tamura S. ↓, Onose K. ↑,
46', Takeda S. ↓, Arthur Feitoza ↑,
47', Arthur Feitoza 🟨,
59', Ishii H. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
61', Uchida K. ↓, Yanagi Y. ↑,
64', Suzuki Y. ↓, Kase N. ↑,
73', Kondo Y. ↓, Yano K. ↑,
73', Nakano K. ↓, Sugimori K. ↑,
76', Sugimori K. 🟨,
82', Okuno H. ↓, Ota S. ↑,
83', Tabata T. ↓, Tabata R. ↑,
83', Yoshino H. ↓, Sato S. ↑,
90', Yanagi Y. 🟨,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Onose K. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Sugimori K. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Ota S. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Yano K. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Yamada H. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Iwasaki H. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Hakamata Y. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Yanagi Y. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Arthur Feitoza (Penalty Awarded),
6, Kamifukumoto N. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

Tochigi is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shonan Bellmare is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Shonan Bellmare is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tochigi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Tochigi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tochigi SC
Japan J2 J3 League
25.04.26	Tochigi City - Tochigi	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Tochigi - Sagamihara	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Tochigi - Thespakusatsu Gunma	5:1 ✺
08.04.26	Tochigi - Vanraure Hachinohe	0:3 ✺
04.04.26	Shonan Bellmare - Tochigi	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLL
- Shonan Bellmare
Japan J2 J3 League
25.04.26	Sagamihara - Shonan Bellmare	1:2 penalties ✺
18.04.26	Shonan Bellmare - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Blaublitz Akita - Shonan Bellmare	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Shonan Bellmare - Tochigi	2:1 penalties ✺
28.03.26	Yokohama FC - Shonan Bellmare	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
04.04.26	Shonan Bellmare - Tochigi	2:1 penalties
Japan J2 League
17.08.14	Tochigi - Shonan Bellmare	0:3
06.05.14	Shonan Bellmare - Tochigi	2:1

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