Match Info

Date: 20 August 2022, Saturday

Location: Greenhous Meadow (Shrewsbury)

Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)


	Shrewsbury Town		Ipswich Town

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.25	2.1
	3.6	3.1	2.1
	3.75	3.25	2.1
	3.45	3.15	2.11
	3.83	3.26	2.15
	3.6	3.2	2.1
	3.66	3.34	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (3.09)	3.22 ↑ (3.15)	2.12 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shrewsbury Town
26%

Draw
29.4%

Ipswich Town
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

29.3%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

27.5%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	13.6%	59.1%

Shrewsbury Town - Ipswich Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Shrewsbury will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). Ipswich will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ipswich: 38.6% – 79.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Shrewsbury has the most likely position - 11 (5.83%), has project points - 61, has currently - 5, has a small chance of relegated (11%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (13%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Ipswich has the most likely position - 1 (20.93%), has project points - 86, has currently - 10, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (37%), has a chance of promoted (47%), has a chance of win league (21%).

This event has small quality 26, importance 35, small match rating 30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shrewsbury won 0.

Recent matches Shrewsbury is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ipswich is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ipswich will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Shrewsbury won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Shrewsbury won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shrewsbury Town
English League One
16.08.22	Shrewsbury Town - Derby County	0:0 ✺
13.08.22	Wycombe Wanderers - Shrewsbury Town	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
09.08.22	Shrewsbury Town - Carlisle United	3:2 ✺
English League One
06.08.22	Shrewsbury Town - Accrington Stanley	0:1 ✺
30.07.22	Morecambe - Shrewsbury Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TWWLT
- Ipswich Town
English League One
16.08.22	Burton Albion - Ipswich Town	0:1 ✺
13.08.22	Ipswich Town - Milton Keynes Dons	3:0 ✺
English League Cup
09.08.22	Ipswich Town - Colchester United	0:1 ✺
English League One
06.08.22	Forest Green Rovers - Ipswich Town	1:2 ✺
30.07.22	Ipswich Town - Bolton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
09.04.22	Shrewsbury Town - Ipswich Town	1:1
09.10.21	Ipswich Town - Shrewsbury Town	2:1
04.05.21	Shrewsbury Town - Ipswich Town	0:0
21.11.20	Ipswich Town - Shrewsbury Town	2:1
31.08.19	Ipswich Town - Shrewsbury Town	3:0

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