Match Info

GEORGIA: CRYSTALBET EROVNULI LIGA - ROUND 34

Date: 24 November 2023, Friday


	Shukura Kobuleti		Samtredia

	1	X	2
	7	5	1.31
	7	5	1.33	Watch
	7.79	4.73	1.35
	7.79	4.73	1.36
	7	4.8	1.29
	7.1	4.8	1.33
	7.4	4.9	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.3 ↑ (6.89)	4.85 ↑ (4.65)	1.33 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shukura Kobuleti
12.5%

Draw
18.8%

Samtredia
68.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

19.7%

66.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1%

16.3%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shukura Kobuleti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Samtredia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shukura Kobuleti than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samtredia than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Samtredia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ghlonti G. (C) 9. Abando M. 6. Al Hateeb M. 25. Bagrationi D. 24. Dzirkvadze G. 21. Giritiladze I. 8. Khabazi T. 22. Kontselidze S. 23. Meskhidze L. 13. Salukvadze G. 14. Tsetskhladze J.	31. Kharatishvili L. (G) 4. Abuladze M. 13. Akhvlediani I. 10. Akhvlediani T. 9. Khaybulaev A. 18. Khmaladze L. (C) 23. Kilasonia V. 15. Mishov A. 17. Nachkebia Z. 8. Pavisic S. 40. Ubilava D.
Coaches
Dzodzuasvili R.	Kapinkovski D.

Preview

Shukura is Relegated to Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shukura won 3.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match Samtredia is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Shukura won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 23-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Shukura won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shukura Kobuleti
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
10.11.23	Dinamo Tbilisi - Shukura Kobuleti	4:2 ✺
04.11.23	Shukura Kobuleti - Dila Gori	1:2 ✺
28.10.23	Telavi - Shukura Kobuleti	0:1 ✺
20.10.23	Shukura Kobuleti - Iberia 1999	1:2 ✺
08.10.23	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Shukura Kobuleti	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LLWLL
- FC Samtredia
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
10.11.23	Samtredia - Dila Gori	1:2 ✺
03.11.23	Iberia 1999 - Samtredia	0:0 ✺
28.10.23	Samtredia - Dinamo Batumi	1:3 ✺
21.10.23	Torpedo Kutaisi - Samtredia	2:0 ✺
07.10.23	Samtredia - Dinamo Tbilisi	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga
17.09.23	Samtredia - Shukura Kobuleti	4:2
24.05.23	Shukura Kobuleti - Samtredia	2:2
08.04.23	Samtredia - Shukura Kobuleti	0:2
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
13.11.22	Shukura Kobuleti - Samtredia	3:0
18.09.22	Samtredia - Shukura Kobuleti	0:1
17.05.22	Shukura Kobuleti - Samtredia	0:0
14.03.22	Samtredia - Shukura Kobuleti	0:1

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