Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 29

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Shumbrat Saransk		Volna Kovernino

	1	X	2
	4.05	3.44	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.05 ↑ (2.89)	3.44 ↑ (3.4)	1.84 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shumbrat Saransk
22.8%

Draw
26.9%

Volna Kovernino
50.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.7%

27%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

25.7%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shumbrat Saransk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shumbrat Saransk's form might have worsened.

Volna Kovernino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Volna Kovernino's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shumbrat Saransk than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shumbrat Saransk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volna Kovernino than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Volna Kovernino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Shumbrat Saransk - Volna Kovernino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Severyanov I. ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Sysuev D. ⚽,
17', 1 - 2, Kalayda D. ⚽,
31', Yusupov R. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 8th and 2nd).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Shumbrat could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Volna Kovernino has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Volna Kovernino holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Shumbrat has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Volna Nizhegorodskaya	29	21	4	4	52:18	34	67
8	FK Shumbrat Saransk	29	13	6	10	47:38	9	45

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Shumbrat Saransk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
17.10.26	Ryazan - Shumbrat Saransk	1:0 ✺
10.10.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Rotor 2	0:0 ✺
03.10.26	Kvant Obninsk - Shumbrat Saransk	2:2 ✺
26.09.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Salyut Belgorod	0:1 ✺
17.09.26	Oryol - Shumbrat Saransk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTTLW
- Volna Kovernino
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
18.10.26	Volna Kovernino - Spartak Tambov	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
14.10.26	Volna Kovernino - Dinamo Saint Petersburg	2:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
10.10.26	Avangard Kursk - Volna Kovernino	0:0 ✺
03.10.26	Volna Kovernino - Saturn Ramenskoye	0:2 ✺
26.09.26	Volna Kovernino - Ryazan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
04.07.26	Volna Kovernino - Shumbrat Saransk	3:3

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