Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 25

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Shumbrat Saransk		Salyut Belgorod

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.58	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.24)	3.58 ↑ (3.5)	2.57 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shumbrat Saransk
38.2%

Draw
25.8%

Salyut Belgorod
36%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.9%

26.2%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

25%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shumbrat Saransk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Salyut Belgorod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shumbrat Saransk than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salyut Belgorod than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Shumbrat Saransk - Salyut Belgorod Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Panin Evgenievich V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 6th and 7th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Salyut may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Shumbrat has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Salyut-Belgorod	29	18	4	7	62:27	35	58
8	FK Shumbrat Saransk	29	13	6	10	47:38	9	45

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Shumbrat Saransk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
17.09.26	Oryol - Shumbrat Saransk	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Rodina Moscow 3	2:3 ✺
05.09.26	Metallurg Lipetsk - Shumbrat Saransk	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Zenit Penza	1:3 ✺
23.08.26	Arsenal 2 Tula - Shumbrat Saransk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWLT
- Salyut Belgorod
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
19.09.26	Salyut Belgorod - Spartak Tambov	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Avangard Kursk - Salyut Belgorod	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Salyut Belgorod - Volna Kovernino	0:2 ✺
28.08.26	Ryazan - Salyut Belgorod	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Salyut Belgorod - Rotor 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
06.06.26	Salyut Belgorod - Shumbrat Saransk	0:2

Shumbrat Saransk - Salyut Belgorod