Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 28

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Ryazan		Shumbrat Saransk

	1	X	2
	1.58	4.01	5.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.72)	4.01 ↑ (3.5)	5.08 ↑ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryazan
58.6%

Draw
23.1%

Shumbrat Saransk
18.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.4%

26.3%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

25.3%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ryazan's performance.

Shumbrat Saransk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryazan than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shumbrat Saransk than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Ryazan - Shumbrat Saransk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, Prokurorov A. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 3rd and 7th).

Ryazan is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Shumbrat has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this match, Ryazan enters as the overwhelming favorite.

Our forecast points to a victory for Ryazan in today's match, at odds of 1.46.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Ryazan has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ryazan	29	16	9	4	49:18	31	57
8	FK Shumbrat Saransk	29	13	6	10	47:38	9	45

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ryazan
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
10.10.26	Spartak Tambov - Ryazan	0:0 ✺
04.10.26	Ryazan - Avangard Kursk	4:0 ✺
30.09.26	Ryazan - Zenit Penza	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Volna Kovernino - Ryazan	0:2 ✺
17.09.26	Ryazan - Saturn Ramenskoye	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TWWWT
- FK Shumbrat Saransk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
10.10.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Rotor 2	0:0 ✺
03.10.26	Kvant Obninsk - Shumbrat Saransk	2:2 ✺
26.09.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Salyut Belgorod	0:1 ✺
17.09.26	Oryol - Shumbrat Saransk	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Rodina Moscow 3	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
27.06.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Ryazan	2:0

Ryazan - Shumbrat Saransk