Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 21

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Shumbrat Saransk		Zenit Penza

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.14	7.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.42)	4.14 ↑ (4)	7.06 ↓ (7.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shumbrat Saransk
64.6%

Draw
22.3%

Zenit Penza
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

22.9%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

21.8%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Shumbrat Saransk have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Zenit Penza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shumbrat Saransk than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zenit Penza than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Shumbrat Saransk - Zenit Penza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Kolesin N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
79', 0 - 2, Chubukin A. (Own goal),
82', 0 - 3, Poptsov M. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 3, Karpov K. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 13).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Shumbrat is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shumbrat won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	FK Shumbrat Saransk	26	13	5	8	46:35	11	44
12	Penza	26	7	4	15	25:48	-23	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Shumbrat Saransk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
23.08.26	Arsenal 2 Tula - Shumbrat Saransk	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Strogino Moskva	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
12.08.26	Shumbrat Saransk - 2DROTS Moscow	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
08.08.26	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Shumbrat Saransk	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	Saturn Ramenskoye - Shumbrat Saransk	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 TTLWL
- Zenit Penza
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
22.08.26	Zenit Penza - Spartak Tambov	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Avangard Kursk - Zenit Penza	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Zenit Penza - Volna Kovernino	0:2 ✺
Russian Cup
29.07.26	SKA Rostov - Zenit Penza	3:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
25.07.26	Rotor 2 - Zenit Penza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
08.05.26	Zenit Penza - Shumbrat Saransk	1:3

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