The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shurtan Guzar 18.4%
Draw 24.5%
Pakhtakor 57.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
11.5%
19.5%
69%
Our Initial ML Estimation
11%
18.7%
72%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shurtan Guzar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shurtan Guzar's performance.
Pakhtakor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pakhtakor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shurtan Guzar than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shurtan Guzar that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (+14.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pakhtakor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Shurtan Guzar - Pakhtakor Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Eshbutaev S. (G) 4. Khudoyberdiev U. 22. Sadulloev S. 55. Pirmukhamedov A. 6. Abdumazhidov O. 70. Jumaev M. 24. Narzullaev D. 33. Rahmatov B. 76. Kenzhaboev I. 10. Mamasidikov T. 9. Kholdorkhonov P.
12. Nazarov V. (G) 5. Khamraliev M. 7. Alizhonov K. 55. Abdumazhidov M. 22. Adkhamzoda U. 27. Sobirkhuzhaev S. 10. Turgunboev A. 23. Buriev A. 9. Ibrokhimov I. 15. Erkinov K. 11. Sergeev I.
Substitutes
35. Abduraimov S. (G) 21. Ibrakhimov M. 11. Khakimov J. 19. Khasanov N. 45. Kodirov G. 3. Sultonmurodov S. 14. Toshkuziev A. 8. Turdialiev A. 27. Tursunkulov C.
18. Abdikholikov B. 20. Abdullaev D. 2. Askarov B. 19. Jhonatan (G) 17. Khamdamov D. 8. Kholmatov D. 21. Resan B. 94. Riascos B. 77. Saitov D.
Coaches
Moyliyev E.
Tadzhiev K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Narzullaev D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', 🟨,
66', Ibrokhimov I. ↓, Kholmatov D. ↑,
66', Erkinov K. ↓, Khamdamov D. ↑,
73', Mamasidikov T. ↓, Toshkuziev A. ↑,
73', Sadulloev S. ↓, Sultonmurodov S. ↑,
78', Turgunboev A. ↓, Resan B. ↑,
78', Sobirkhuzhaev S. ↓, Abdikholikov B. ↑,
79', Khamraliev M. 🟨,
82', Rahmatov B. ↓, Turdialiev A. ↑,
82', Kholdorkhonov P. ↓, Kodirov G. ↑,
86', Narzullaev D. ↓, Tursunkulov C. ↑,
90+4', Eshbutaev S. 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro Liga and 3).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shurtan won 1.
Shurtan has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Pakhtakor is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Pakhtakor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Pakhtakor is the obvious favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Shurtan won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 1.1:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Shurtan won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
Watch
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Eshbutaev S. (G) 
Jhonatan (G) 
Resan B. 
Riascos B. 
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