Match Info

Super League - Round 25

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Istiqlol Stadium (Fergana)

Referee: Rahmonov D. (Uzb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Uzbekistan	Futbol TV


	Neftchi Fargona		AGMK

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.95	6.23
	1.65	3.73	4.58	Watch
	1.55	3.88	6.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.65)	3.85 ↑ (3.73)	5.62 ↑ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftchi Fargona
59.2%

Draw
24.2%

AGMK
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

24.5%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

22.9%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

AGMK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AGMK than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Neftchi Fargona - AGMK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ergashev B. (G) 6. Yuldoshev I. 4. Ciger B. 20. Gofurov A. 21. Ubaydullaev M. 22. Odilov A. 5. Alibaev I. 23. Djokic J. 10. Iskanderov J. 7. Ismoilov A. 9. Kojo J.	35. Ilyosov J. (G) 21. Akhrorov S. 6. Ulmasaliev A. 20. Tukhtakhuzhaev I. 7. Akhmadaliev D. 18. Kholmurodov A. 99. Sobirzhonov A. 10. Giyosov K. 15. Rustamov O. 5. Papava G. 11. Sanchez R.
Substitutes
24. Gulyamov G. 8. Jovovic V. 32. Marusic Z. 15. Nematzhonov S. 70. Nimely S. 11. Ruziev K. 77. Toshmirzaev B. 45. Turaev A. (G) 33. Yoqubjonov S.	88. Abdunabiev K. (G) 27. Abdurakhmonov A. 77. Abdurazzakov N. 13. Begimov E. 19. Mukimzhonov A. 30. Sarimsakov A. 16. Senaga N. 28. Sentoku A. . Yuldashev I.
Coaches
Levchenko V.	Kasymov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Iskanderov J. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Sanchez R. 🟨,
60', Sobirzhonov A. ↓, Abdurazzakov N. ↑,
60', Papava G. ↓, Sentoku A. ↑,
63', Odilov A. ↓, Jovovic V. ↑,
63', Yuldoshev I. ↓, Ruziev K. ↑,
65', Kholmurodov A. ↓, Abdurakhmonov A. ↑,
71', Akhrorov S. ↓, Mukimzhonov A. ↑,
72', Ergashev B. 🟨,
73', Iskanderov J. ↓, Marusic Z. ↑,
81', Ulmasaliev A. 🟨,
82', Tukhtakhuzhaev I. 🟨,
86', Gofurov A. 🟨,
88', Rustamov O. 🟨,
90+3', Kojo J. ↓, Nematzhonov S. ↑,
90+3', Ismoilov A. ↓, Toshmirzaev B. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 2.

Neftchi Fargona is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

AGMK has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Neftchi Fargona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Neftchi Fargona is the team to beat.

We predict that Neftchi Fargona will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Neftchi Fargona won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neftchi Fargona
Uzbek League
05.10.25	Neftchi Fargona - Andijan	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Sogdiana Jizzakh - Neftchi Fargona	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Neftchi Fargona - Dinamo Samarqand	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Pakhtakor - Neftchi Fargona	2:1 ✺
21.08.25	Neftchi Fargona - Mashal Mubarek	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWLW
- FC AGMK
Uzbek League
03.10.25	AGMK - Kokand 1912	0:1 ✺
26.09.25	Andijan - AGMK	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	AGMK - Bunyodkor	5:1 ✺
12.09.25	Sogdiana Jizzakh - AGMK	4:1 ✺
23.08.25	AGMK - Xorazm Urganch	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
19.05.25	AGMK - Neftchi Fargona	2:2
28.10.24	AGMK - Neftchi Fargona	1:2
26.05.24	Neftchi Fargona - AGMK	1:0
26.08.23	AGMK - Neftchi Fargona	1:1
31.03.23	Neftchi Fargona - AGMK	2:2
02.11.22	Neftchi Fargona - AGMK	1:3
27.05.22	AGMK - Neftchi Fargona	3:1

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