Match Info

Super League - Round 13

Date: 22 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Markaziy Stadium (Qarshi)

Referee: Lutfullin R. (Uzb)


	Shurtan Guzar		Surkhon Termez

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.9	2.15
	3.1	3.34	2.25
				Watch
	3.2	2.8	2.25
	3.16	3.19	2.27
	3.44	3.32	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↓ (3.75)	3.11 ↓ (3.33)	2.2 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shurtan Guzar
28.6%

Draw
29.6%

Surkhon Termez
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

28.1%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

29.2%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shurtan Guzar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Surkhon Termez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Surkhon Termez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shurtan Guzar than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Surkhon Termez than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Surkhon Termez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Shurtan Guzar - Surkhon Termez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eshbutaev S. (G) 55. Pirmukhamedov A. 4. Khudoyberdiev U. 3. Sultonmurodov S. 22. Sadulloev S. 33. Rahmatov B. 6. Kuziev S. 19. Khasanov N. 24. Narzullaev D. 10. Mamasidikov T. 45. Kodirov G.	1. Potapov A. (G) 66. Shaydulov B. 5. Khodzhaniyazov D. 6. Shamsiev B. 3. Khamidzhonov S. 24. Komilov S. 8. Sherbutaev K. 27. Jumaev A. 7. Tursunov D. 99. Poyonov S. 11. Khaydarov A.
Substitutes
35. Abduraimov S. (G) 15. Mannonov J. 9. Nematzhonov S. 8. Nuriddinov S. 99. Saidazimov K. 77. Saidkhonov A. 11. Sharipov D. 7. Suvonov B. 14. Toshkuziev A.	18. Abdikholikov N. 17. Abdusalomov J. 22. Juraev J. 77. Karimov A. 88. Kratkov D. 4. Nematkhonov N. 16. Yuldoshev D. (G) 23. Yusupov K.
Coaches
Moyliyev E.	Davletov F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Sherbutaev K. ⚽, Tursunov D. (A),
11', Khudoyberdiev U. 🟨,
13', Tursunov D. 🟨,
34', Khamidzhonov S. 🟥,
45+2', 1 - 1, Kodirov G. ⚽, Pirmukhamedov A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sadulloev S. ↓, Mannonov J. ↑,
46', Kodirov G. ↓, Toshkuziev A. ↑,
47', 🟨,
63', 🟨,
66', 2 - 1, Toshkuziev A. ⚽,
90', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro Liga and 11).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Surkhon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Surkhon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shurtan Guzar
Uzbek Cup
18.06.25	Shurtan Guzar - Orol Nukus	4:1 ✺
Uzbek League
14.06.25	AGMK - Shurtan Guzar	0:0 ✺
24.05.25	Neftchi Fargona - Shurtan Guzar	4:0 ✺
17.05.25	Shurtan Guzar - Andijan	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Sogdiana Jizzakh - Shurtan Guzar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.2 WTLWT
- Surkhon Termez
Uzbek League
15.06.25	Surkhon Termez - Neftchi Fargona	0:0 ✺
23.05.25	Andijan - Surkhon Termez	2:1 ✺
16.05.25	Surkhon Termez - Sogdiana Jizzakh	2:1 ✺
09.05.25	Dinamo Samarqand - Surkhon Termez	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Surkhon Termez - Pakhtakor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 TLWLW

Shurtan Guzar - Surkhon Termez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide