Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 2 - ROUND 30

Date: 6 May 2023, Saturday


	Siarka Tarnobrzeg		Motor Lublin

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	1.87
	3.55	3.3	1.85
	3.86	3.52	1.87
	3.4	3.3	1.88
	3.74	3.64	1.84	Watch
	3.5	3.55	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (3.5)	3.45 ↓ (3.5)	1.88 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
25.4%

Draw
26.3%

Motor Lublin
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siarka Tarnobrzeg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siarka Tarnobrzeg than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Motor Lublin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Recent matches Siarka Tarnobrzeg is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Motor is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Motor will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Siarka Tarnobrzeg won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Siarka Tarnobrzeg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Polish Division 2
29.04.23	Polkowice - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	4:1 ✺
22.04.23	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Olimpia Elbląg	1:0 ✺
15.04.23	Garbarnia Kraków - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:1 ✺
08.04.23	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Polonia Warsaw	1:3 ✺
01.04.23	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWLL
- Motor Lublin
Polish Division 2
30.04.23	Motor Lublin - Hutnik	1:1 ✺
22.04.23	Wisła Puławy - Motor Lublin	1:0 ✺
16.04.23	Motor Lublin - Lech Poznań 2	5:1 ✺
08.04.23	Znicz Pruszków - Motor Lublin	1:2 ✺
01.04.23	Motor Lublin - Śląsk Wrocław 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
10.02.23	Motor Lublin - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:1
Polish Division 2
01.10.22	Motor Lublin - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:0
Club Friendly
11.07.21	Motor Lublin - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2:0
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
12.10.19	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Motor Lublin	1:2
Polish Division 2 - East
29.03.14	Motor Lublin - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:3

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