Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 11

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Siarka Tarnobrzeg		Naprzód Jędrzejów

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.2	4.1
	1.55	4.25	4.25
	1.57	4.3	4.38	Watch
	1.59	4.3	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.49)	4.26 ↓ (4.48)	4.28 ↓ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
57.6%

Draw
21.2%

Naprzód Jędrzejów
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

20.3%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

19.9%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siarka Tarnobrzeg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Naprzód Jędrzejów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siarka Tarnobrzeg than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naprzód Jędrzejów than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Naprzód Jędrzejów Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 13).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Siarka Tarnobrzeg is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Siarka Tarnobrzeg - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 60.93%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
27.09.25	Czarni Połaniec - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:5 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Hutnik	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
20.09.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Wisłoka Dębica - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Korona Kielce 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLLWW
- Naprzód Jędrzejów
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
27.09.25	Naprzód Jędrzejów - Korona Kielce 2	1:4 ✺
21.09.25	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka - Naprzód Jędrzejów	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Naprzód Jędrzejów - Wisła II Kraków	3:2 ✺
06.09.25	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Naprzód Jędrzejów	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Naprzód Jędrzejów - Wisłoka Dębica	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWLT

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