Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 14

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday ⏱️ In 4h 42m 📅 Remind Me

Location: III Liga 🌤️ ...


	Moravia Morawica		Siarka Tarnobrzeg

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.50	1.93
	3.20	3.35	1.92
	3.16	3.48	1.92
	3.25	3.56	1.98	Watch
	3.05	3.40	1.87
	3.26	3.52	1.93
	3.69	3.74	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↓ (3.69)	3.51 ↓ (3.74)	1.89 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moravia Morawica
27.5%

Draw
25.4%

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
47.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24%

23.7%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

22%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moravia Morawica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Siarka Tarnobrzeg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Siarka Tarnobrzeg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moravia Morawica than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siarka Tarnobrzeg than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Moravia Morawica - Siarka Tarnobrzeg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 17th in the Relegation and 10th).

Moravia is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Siarka Tarnobrzeg has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Siarka Tarnobrzeg could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Siarka Tarnobrzeg for this game.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	13	5	2	6	19:19	0	17
17	Moravia Morawica	13	2	3	8	13:23	-10	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moravia Morawica
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
17.10.26	Wieczysta II - Moravia Morawica	1:0 ✺
10.10.26	Moravia Morawica - Wisłoka Dębica	0:0 ✺
03.10.26	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Moravia Morawica	2:2 ✺
27.09.26	Moravia Morawica - JKS Jarosław	2:2 ✺
19.09.26	Busko-Zdrój - Moravia Morawica	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LTTTL
- Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
17.10.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	4:0 ✺
09.10.26	Wiślanie Skawina - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	4:1 ✺
03.10.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Korona Kielce 2	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Star Starachowice - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	4:1 ✺
19.09.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Polish Cup
28.10.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Lech Poznań	✺

Moravia Morawica - Siarka Tarnobrzeg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide