Match Info

Premier League - Round 16

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday


	Sidama Coffee		Ethiopia Bunna

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.72	3.65
	2.23	2.67	3.79	Watch
	2.15	2.45	3.5
	2.18	2.69	3.7
	2.25	2.71	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.71)	2.65 ↓ (2.87)	3.65 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sidama Coffee
41.3%

Draw
34%

Ethiopia Bunna
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

32.1%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

33.3%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sidama Coffee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sidama Coffee's performance.

Ethiopia Bunna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ethiopia Bunna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sidama Coffee than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sidama Coffee that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopia Bunna than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ethiopia Bunna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Sidama Coffee - Ethiopia Bunna Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sidama Coffee will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sidama Coffee (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Sidama Coffee (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Sidama Coffee (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Nago B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 2 - 0, Mengistu F. ⚽,
90+6', 3 - 0, Yohannis Y. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sidama Coffee won 2.

Sidama Coffee is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Ethiopia Bunna has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sidama Coffee will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sidama Coffee won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Sidama Coffee won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.7:1.3).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sidama Bunna ✔	38	19	11	8	43:23	20	68
8	Ethiopia Bunna	38	13	12	13	40:39	1	51

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sidama Coffee FC
Ethiopian Premier League
17.01.26	Adama City - Sidama Coffee	2:2 ✺
08.01.26	Sidama Coffee - Arba Minch	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Hadiya Hossana - Sidama Coffee	0:2 ✺
30.12.25	Sidama Coffee - Sheger Ketema	2:0 ✺
26.12.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Sidama Coffee	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTWWT
- Ethiopia Bunna
Ethiopian Premier League
17.01.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Hawassa City	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Fasil Kenema - Ethiopia Bunna	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Shire Endaselassie	1:3 ✺
31.12.25	Mechal - Ethiopia Bunna	0:1 ✺
25.12.25	Ethiopia Bunna - Dire Dawa City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
20.04.25	Ethiopia Bunna - Sidama Coffee	0:1
26.10.24	Sidama Coffee - Ethiopia Bunna	2:0
03.03.24	Ethiopia Bunna - Sidama Coffee	3:0
01.10.23	Sidama Coffee - Ethiopia Bunna	0:1
13.04.23	Sidama Coffee - Ethiopia Bunna	0:0
20.10.22	Ethiopia Bunna - Sidama Coffee	1:0
31.03.22	Sidama Coffee - Ethiopia Bunna	1:1

Sidama Coffee - Ethiopia Bunna: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide