Match Info

Premier League - Round 14

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Fasil Kenema		Ethiopia Bunna

	1	X	2
	2.78	2.58	2.72
	2.95	2.5	2.87	Watch
	2.88	2.4	2.75
	2.79	2.64	2.67
	3	2.42	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.85)	2.51 ↓ (2.74)	2.78 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fasil Kenema
31.4%

Draw
36.1%

Ethiopia Bunna
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

33.6%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

33.2%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fasil Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Ethiopia Bunna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fasil Kenema than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopia Bunna than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Fasil Kenema - Ethiopia Bunna Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ethiopia Bunna (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
62', 0 - 1, Zelalem A. ⚽,
74', 0 - 2, Abubakar A. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fasil Kenema won 1.

Fasil Kenema is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ethiopia Bunna has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Fasil Kenema won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Fasil Kenema won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Fasil Kenema	38	14	13	11	28:28	0	55
8	Ethiopia Bunna	38	13	12	13	40:39	1	51

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fasil Kenema FC
Ethiopian Premier League
03.01.26	Adama City - Fasil Kenema	0:0 ✺
29.12.25	Fasil Kenema - Ethio Electric	1:0 ✺
24.12.25	Bahir Dar Kenema - Fasil Kenema	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Fasil Kenema - Negele Arsi Ketema	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Fasil Kenema	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWTWT
- Ethiopia Bunna
Ethiopian Premier League
04.01.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Shire Endaselassie	1:3 ✺
31.12.25	Mechal - Ethiopia Bunna	0:1 ✺
25.12.25	Ethiopia Bunna - Dire Dawa City	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Welwalo Adigrat - Ethiopia Bunna	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Arba Minch - Ethiopia Bunna	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
15.04.25	Ethiopia Bunna - Fasil Kenema	1:0
16.01.25	Fasil Kenema - Ethiopia Bunna	0:1
28.03.24	Ethiopia Bunna - Fasil Kenema	1:1
28.10.23	Fasil Kenema - Ethiopia Bunna	2:0
05.07.23	Fasil Kenema - Ethiopia Bunna	0:0
28.02.23	Ethiopia Bunna - Fasil Kenema	1:1
27.06.22	Fasil Kenema - Ethiopia Bunna	3:0

Fasil Kenema - Ethiopia Bunna: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide