Match Info

Premier League - Round 36

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Sidama Coffee		Negele Arsi Ketema

	1	X	2
	2.20	2.70	3.30
	2.30	2.70	3.30
	2.32	2.70	3.45
	2.45	2.48	3.64	Watch
	2.25	2.50	3.40
	2.26	2.89	3.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.22)	2.66 ↓ (2.8)	3.44 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sidama Coffee
39.5%

Draw
34.1%

Negele Arsi Ketema
26.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.4%

32.8%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

31.2%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sidama Coffee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Negele Arsi Ketema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sidama Coffee than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Negele Arsi Ketema than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Sidama Coffee - Negele Arsi Ketema Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sidama Coffee (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 🟥,
45+5', 1 - 0, Sidama K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
76', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).

Sidama Coffee is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Negele Arsi Ketema has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sidama Coffee is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sidama Coffee won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Negele Arsi Ketema	4	2	2	0	5:1	4	8
18	Sidama Bunna	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0

Last Results with these Odds

Sidama Coffee - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.38%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sidama Coffee FC
Ethiopian Premier League
14.06.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Sidama Coffee	1:2 ✺
30.05.26	Sidama Coffee - Adama City	1:0 ✺
Ethiopian Cup
26.05.26	Sidama Coffee - Ethiopian Medhin	3:2 penalties ✺
Ethiopian Premier League
21.05.26	Arba Minch - Sidama Coffee	0:3 ✺
14.05.26	Sidama Coffee - Hadiya Hossana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWL
- Negele Arsi Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League
15.06.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Hawassa City	2:1 ✺
04.06.26	Welayta Dicha - Negele Arsi Ketema	0:0 ✺
21.05.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Shire Endaselassie	0:0 ✺
14.05.26	Mechal - Negele Arsi Ketema	4:0 ✺
11.05.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Dire Dawa City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Cup
25.04.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Sidama Coffee	1:2
Ethiopian Premier League
27.01.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Sidama Coffee	1:0

Sidama Coffee - Negele Arsi Ketema