Match Info

Premier League - Round 33

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday


	Negele Arsi Ketema		Shire Endaselassie

	1	X	2
	2	2.62	4.25
	2.14	2.59	4.81
	2.17	2.52	4.46	Watch
	2.05	2.63	3.8
	1.94	2.74	5.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.92)	2.62 ↓ (3)	4.52 ↑ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Negele Arsi Ketema
44.6%

Draw
35.1%

Shire Endaselassie
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

30.6%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

30%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Negele Arsi Ketema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Shire Endaselassie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Negele Arsi Ketema than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shire Endaselassie than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Negele Arsi Ketema - Shire Endaselassie Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 and 17).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Negele Arsi Ketema is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Negele Arsi Ketema won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Negele Arsi Ketema	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Negele Arsi Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League
14.05.26	Mechal - Negele Arsi Ketema	4:0 ✺
11.05.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Dire Dawa City	3:0 ✺
06.05.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Negele Arsi Ketema	1:2 ✺
30.04.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Fasil Kenema	0:0 ✺
Ethiopian Cup
25.04.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Sidama Coffee	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWTL
- Shire Endaselassie
Ethiopian Premier League
14.05.26	Shire Endaselassie - Ethiopia Bunna	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Adama City - Shire Endaselassie	4:0 ✺
05.05.26	Shire Endaselassie - Ethio Electric	1:0 ✺
01.05.26	Bahir Dar Kenema - Shire Endaselassie	1:1 ✺
20.04.26	Shire Endaselassie - Welayta Dicha	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
08.01.26	Shire Endaselassie - Negele Arsi Ketema	0:1

Negele Arsi Ketema - Shire Endaselassie: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide