Match Info

Premier League - Round 35

Date: 15 June 2026, Monday


	Negele Arsi Ketema		Hawassa City

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.55	2.9
	2.55	2.85	2.70
	2.84	2.47	3.16
	3.05	2.19	3.3	Watch
	2.63	2.45	2.9
	2.67	2.45	3.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.55)	2.49 ↓ (2.85)	3 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Negele Arsi Ketema
33.4%

Draw
36.4%

Hawassa City
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

31.5%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

30.6%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Negele Arsi Ketema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Hawassa City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Negele Arsi Ketema than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawassa City than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Negele Arsi Ketema - Hawassa City Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Negele Arsi Ketema will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Markos A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
78', 1 - 1, Kebede G. ⚽,
85', 2 - 1, Salalo R. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 and 5).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Negele Arsi Ketema may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Negele Arsi Ketema won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Hawassa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Negele Arsi Ketema	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Negele Arsi Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League
04.06.26	Welayta Dicha - Negele Arsi Ketema	0:0 ✺
21.05.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Shire Endaselassie	0:0 ✺
14.05.26	Mechal - Negele Arsi Ketema	4:0 ✺
11.05.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Dire Dawa City	3:0 ✺
06.05.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Negele Arsi Ketema	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TTLWW
- Hawassa City SC
Ethiopian Premier League
28.05.26	Hawassa City - Ethiopia Bunna	1:0 ✺
20.05.26	Saint George - Hawassa City	1:0 ✺
16.05.26	Hawassa City - Arba Minch	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	Hadiya Hossana - Hawassa City	1:0 ✺
04.05.26	Hawassa City - Sheger Ketema	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
21.01.26	Hawassa City - Negele Arsi Ketema	2:0

Negele Arsi Ketema - Hawassa City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide