Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 13

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Carlo Zecchini (Grosseto)


	Grosseto		Siena

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.65	6.5
	1.74	3.48	4.35	Watch
	1.45	3.65	7.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (2.12)	3.59 ↑ (3.1)	6.03 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grosseto
59.2%

Draw
25.5%

Siena
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grosseto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grosseto's performance.

Siena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Siena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grosseto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siena than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Siena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Grosseto - Siena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Marzierli E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 1 - 1, Lipari M. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 7).

Grosseto is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Siena's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Grosseto is the team to beat.

We predict that Grosseto will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Grosseto won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Grosseto won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Grosseto
Italian Serie D - Group E
16.11.25	Follonica Gavorrano - Grosseto	2:4 ✺
09.11.25	Grosseto - Terranuova Traiana	4:0 ✺
02.11.25	Scandicci - Grosseto	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Grosseto - Poggibonsi	3:1 ✺
19.10.25	Orvietana - Grosseto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWW
- Siena FC
Italian Serie D - Group E
16.11.25	Siena - San Donato Tavarnelle	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Foligno - Siena	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Siena - Prato	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Ghiviborgo - Siena	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Siena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
04.05.25	Grosseto - Siena	1:1
22.12.24	Siena - Grosseto	0:1
Italian Serie C Group B
03.04.22	Grosseto - Siena	0:0
27.11.21	Siena - Grosseto	1:3

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