Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 15

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Montevarchi		Siena

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.15	2.48
	2.55	3.34	2.5	Watch
	2.54	3.15	2.49
	2.57	3.14	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.54)	3.2 ↓ (3.36)	2.5 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montevarchi
35.5%

Draw
28.3%

Siena
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

27.2%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

26.1%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montevarchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Siena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevarchi than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siena than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Montevarchi - Siena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+9', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: ) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montevarchi won 0.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Montevarchi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1:10. (average 0.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Montevarchi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevarchi Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
30.11.25	Terranuova Traiana - Montevarchi	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Montevarchi - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Poggibonsi - Montevarchi	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Montevarchi - Follonica Gavorrano	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Tau Altopascio - Montevarchi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTWLL
- Siena FC
Italian Serie D - Group E
30.11.25	Siena - Seravezza Pozzi	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Grosseto - Siena	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Siena - San Donato Tavarnelle	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Foligno - Siena	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Siena - Prato	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
12.01.25	Montevarchi - Siena	0:1
15.09.24	Siena - Montevarchi	1:0
Italian Serie C Group B
22.01.23	Montevarchi - Siena	1:2
18.09.22	Siena - Montevarchi	1:0
06.02.22	Siena - Montevarchi	2:0
28.09.21	Montevarchi - Siena	0:3

Montevarchi - Siena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide