Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 9

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Siena		Rondinella Marzocco

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.60	4.80
	1.55	3.5	5.1
	1.58	3.75	5.1	Watch
	1.53	3.5	4.9
	1.56	3.74	4.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.57)	3.62 ↑ (3.58)	4.97 ↓ (5.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siena
57.3%

Draw
24.7%

Rondinella Marzocco
18%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.4%

25.2%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

24.7%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Rondinella Marzocco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siena than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rondinella Marzocco than the current prediction. (-1%)

Siena - Rondinella Marzocco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Andolfi T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Serie D - Group E Playoffs and 14th).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Recently, Siena has faced a series of away games on the road.

Bookmakers give the edge to Siena for this game.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Siena	9	5	1	3	16:10	6	16
14	Rondinella	9	2	3	4	6:11	-5	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siena FC
Italian Serie D - Group E
18.10.26	Ternana - Siena	2:1 ✺
11.10.26	Progresso - Siena	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
07.10.26	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Siena	0:3 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group E
04.10.26	Siena - Seravezza Pozzi	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Lucchese - Siena	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWWL
- ASD Rondinella Marzocco
Italian Serie D - Group E
18.10.26	Rondinella Marzocco - Seravezza Pozzi	0:0 ✺
11.10.26	Montevarchi - Rondinella Marzocco	0:1 ✺
04.10.26	Rondinella Marzocco - Progresso	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Tau Altopascio - Rondinella Marzocco	3:2 ✺
20.09.26	Rondinella Marzocco - Lucchese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TWWLT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siena FC
Coppa Italia Serie D
28.10.26	Siena - Ancona	✺

Siena - Rondinella Marzocco