Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Montevarchi		Rondinella Marzocco

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.3	4
	1.8	3.4	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.75)	3.35 ↑ (3.3)	4.08 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montevarchi
50.9%

Draw
27%

Rondinella Marzocco
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

26.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

25.1%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montevarchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for Rondinella Marzocco have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevarchi than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rondinella Marzocco than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 12th and 14th).

Montevarchi has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Rondinella is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this matchup, Montevarchi is considered the favorite to take the win.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Montevarchi	6	2	1	3	9:11	-2	7
14	Rondinella	6	1	2	3	5:10	-5	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevarchi Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
04.10.26	Ternana - Montevarchi	4:1 ✺
27.09.26	Montevarchi - Progresso	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Siena - Montevarchi	3:0 ✺
16.09.26	Seravezza Pozzi - Montevarchi	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Montevarchi - Tau Altopascio	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLTW
- ASD Rondinella Marzocco
Italian Serie D - Group E
04.10.26	Rondinella Marzocco - Progresso	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Tau Altopascio - Rondinella Marzocco	3:2 ✺
20.09.26	Rondinella Marzocco - Lucchese	0:0 ✺
16.09.26	Scandicci - Rondinella Marzocco	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Rondinella Marzocco - Prato	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLTLL

Montevarchi - Rondinella Marzocco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide