Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 6

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Rondinella Marzocco		Progresso

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.20	2.65
	2.32	3.05	2.70
	2.44	3.24	2.68	Watch
	2.30	3.05	2.55
	2.49	3.32	2.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.32)	3.17 ↑ (3.05)	2.66 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rondinella Marzocco
37.8%

Draw
28.4%

Progresso
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

29%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rondinella Marzocco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Progresso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Rondinella Marzocco - Progresso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Minelli L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 1 - 1, ⚽,
63', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 17th in the Relegation and 15th in the Serie D - Group E (Play Out: )).

Progresso has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Rondinella	6	1	2	3	5:10	-5	5
16	SCD Progresso	6	1	0	5	4:15	-11	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Rondinella Marzocco
Italian Serie D - Group E
27.09.26	Tau Altopascio - Rondinella Marzocco	3:2 ✺
20.09.26	Rondinella Marzocco - Lucchese	0:0 ✺
16.09.26	Scandicci - Rondinella Marzocco	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Rondinella Marzocco - Prato	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLL
- SCD Progresso Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
27.09.26	Montevarchi - Progresso	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Progresso - Seravezza Pozzi	0:3 ✺
16.09.26	Lucchese - Progresso	5:0 ✺
12.09.26	Progresso - Scandicci	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Tau Altopascio - Progresso	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL

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