Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Progresso		Siena

	1	X	2
	3.39	3.48	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 (3.39)	3.48 (3.48)	1.9 (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progresso
26.6%

Draw
25.9%

Siena
47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

25.4%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Progresso have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Siena have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siena than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 16th in the Serie D - Group E (Play Out: ) and 8th).

Progresso is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Siena has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Progresso could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Siena holding a narrow advantage.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Siena	6	3	1	2	13:8	5	10
16	SCD Progresso	6	1	0	5	4:15	-11	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCD Progresso Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
04.10.26	Rondinella Marzocco - Progresso	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Montevarchi - Progresso	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Progresso - Seravezza Pozzi	0:3 ✺
16.09.26	Lucchese - Progresso	5:0 ✺
12.09.26	Progresso - Scandicci	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW
- Siena FC
Coppa Italia Serie D
07.10.26	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Siena	0:3 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group E
04.10.26	Siena - Seravezza Pozzi	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Lucchese - Siena	3:2 ✺
20.09.26	Siena - Montevarchi	3:0 ✺
16.09.26	Tau Altopascio - Siena	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWL

Progresso - Siena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide