Match Info
Serie D - Group E - Round 7Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday ๐ Finished
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Progresso |
|
Siena |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
5.75 |
4.10 |
1.44 |
|
 |
5.90 |
4.42 |
1.40 |
|
 |
7.4 |
4.89 |
1.33 |
 Watch |
 |
5.80 |
4.35 |
1.38 |
|
 |
6.22 |
4.15 |
1.50 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.21 ↑
(3.39) |
4.38 ↑
(3.48) |
1.41 ↓
(1.9) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Progresso
14.7% | Draw
20.8% | Siena
64.6% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Progresso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Progresso's form might have worsened.Siena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Siena's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (+11.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Progresso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siena than the current prediction. (-16.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Siena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Progresso - Siena Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 75', 🟥,
- 76', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 89', 🟥,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 16th in the Serie D - Group E (Play Out: ) and 8th).Recent results have been tough for Progresso (last 5 matches: 1 win).Siena has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).Progresso could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match. In this match, Siena enters as the overwhelming favorite. No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Siena | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 16 |
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| 18 | SCD Progresso | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4:18 | -14 | 3 |
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