Match Info

K3 League - Round 12

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday


	Siheung		Dangjin Citizen

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.33	6.25
	1.38	4.25	6.7	Watch
	1.4	4.53	7.47
	1.37	4.63	6.98	Watch
	1.36	4	6.5
	1.35	4.4	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.38)	4.36 ↓ (4.54)	6.9 ↓ (7.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siheung
66%

Draw
20.8%

Dangjin Citizen
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.2%

20.4%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2%

19.5%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siheung has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Dangjin Citizen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siheung than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dangjin Citizen than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Siheung - Dangjin Citizen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
34', 1 - 0, ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 and 5).

Siheung is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Dangjin Citizen has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Dangjin Citizen has had a series of away games.

In this match, Siheung is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Siheung will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Siheung won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Siheung won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Siheung Citizen	23	17	4	2	37:20	17	55
6	Dangjin Citizen	23	9	4	10	46:39	7	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Siheung
South Korean K3 League
17.05.26	Siheung - Gangneung	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Ulsan Citizen - Siheung	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Changwon City - Siheung	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Siheung - Yangpyeong	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Pocheon - Siheung	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWTWW
- Dangjin Citizen
South Korean K3 League
16.05.26	Dangjin Citizen - Daejeon Korail	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Gyeongju KH&NP - Dangjin Citizen	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	Busan Kyotong - Dangjin Citizen	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Jeonbuk 2 - Dangjin Citizen	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Chuncheon - Dangjin Citizen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
25.09.22	Dangjin Citizen - Siheung	1:1
21.05.22	Siheung - Dangjin Citizen	2:1

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