Match Info

K3 League - Round 11

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Dangjin Citizen		Daejeon Korail

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.45	1.8	Watch
	3.94	3.89	1.85
	3.57	4.13	1.77	Watch
	3.7	3.4	1.75
	3.97	3.64	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↑ (3.69)	3.7 ↓ (3.84)	1.78 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dangjin Citizen
24.1%

Draw
24.7%

Daejeon Korail
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

24%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

23.4%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dangjin Citizen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Daejeon Korail has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dangjin Citizen than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daejeon Korail than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Dangjin Citizen - Daejeon Korail Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 4).

Dangjin Citizen has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Daejeon Korail is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Daejeon Korail may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Dangjin Citizen has had a series of away games.

In this match, Daejeon Korail is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dangjin Citizen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Dangjin Citizen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Daejeon Korail	23	12	5	6	33:18	15	41
6	Dangjin Citizen	23	9	4	10	46:39	7	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dangjin Citizen
South Korean K3 League
10.05.26	Gyeongju KH&NP - Dangjin Citizen	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	Busan Kyotong - Dangjin Citizen	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Jeonbuk 2 - Dangjin Citizen	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Chuncheon - Dangjin Citizen	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Yeoju - Dangjin Citizen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TLWWT
- Daejeon Korail
South Korean K3 League
10.05.26	Gangneung - Daejeon Korail	0:3 ✺
01.05.26	Ulsan Citizen - Daejeon Korail	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Daejeon Korail - Changwon City	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Yangpyeong - Daejeon Korail	0:3 ✺
11.04.26	Daejeon Korail - Siheung	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean Cup
09.03.24	Daejeon Korail - Dangjin Citizen	3:1
South Korean K3 League
29.10.22	Dangjin Citizen - Daejeon Korail	0:1
03.06.22	Daejeon Korail - Dangjin Citizen	3:1

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