Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 20

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Sport União Sintrense (Sintra)


	Sintrense		Alcochetense

	1	X	2
	2.42	2.92	2.82
	2.48	2.81	2.9
	2.49	2.87	2.91	Watch
	2.45	2.63	2.9
	2.46	2.83	2.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.44)	2.81 ↓ (2.88)	2.89 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sintrense
36.7%

Draw
32.1%

Alcochetense
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

31.3%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

30.7%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sintrense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Alcochetense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sintrense than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Alcochetense aligns with the current prediction.

Sintrense - Alcochetense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', (Penalty Awarded),
33', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 5).

Sintrense has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Alcochetense is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sintrense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sintrense	4	3	1	0	11:3	8	10
8	GD Alcochetense	4	1	2	1	7:6	1	5

Last Results with these Odds

Sintrense - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 36.88%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SU Sintrense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
22.02.26	Oriental - Sintrense	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Sintrense - Alverca B	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Elvas - Sintrense	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Sintrense - Juventude de Évora	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Louletano - Sintrense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.1 TWWWW
- GD Alcochetense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
22.02.26	Alcochetense - Portimonense B	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Atlético da Malveira - Alcochetense	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Alcochetense - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Moncarapachense - Alcochetense	1:3 ✺
17.01.26	Alcochetense - Comércio e Indústria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
26.10.25	Alcochetense - Sintrense	1:0

Sintrense - Alcochetense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide