Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 18

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio das Seixas (Malveira)


	Atlético da Malveira		Alcochetense

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.87	3
	2.25	2.98	3
	2.22	2.85	3.16
	2.25	2.98	3.19	Watch
	2.2	2.8	3.1
	2.19	2.93	3.3
	2.22	2.85	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.22)	2.89 ↓ (3.14)	3.14 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético da Malveira
40.3%

Draw
31%

Alcochetense
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

28.8%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

29.1%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético da Malveira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Alcochetense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético da Malveira than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcochetense than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Atlético da Malveira - Alcochetense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 4).

Malveira has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Alcochetense is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Malveira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Malveira will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Malveira won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	GD Alcochetense	4	1	2	1	7:6	1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético da Malveira
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
08.02.26	Oriental - Atlético da Malveira	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Atlético da Malveira - Alverca B	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Elvas - Atlético da Malveira	1:3 ✺
10.01.26	Juventude de Évora - Atlético da Malveira	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Atlético da Malveira - Louletano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 TLWTW
- GD Alcochetense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
07.02.26	Alcochetense - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Moncarapachense - Alcochetense	1:3 ✺
17.01.26	Alcochetense - Comércio e Indústria	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Serpa - Alcochetense	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Alcochetense - Lagoa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
28.09.25	Alcochetense - Atlético da Malveira	0:1

Atlético da Malveira - Alcochetense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide