Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 17

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Antonio De Almeida Correia Foni (Foni)


	Alcochetense		Vasco da Gama Vidigueira

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.05	6.3
	1.4	4.01	6.85
	1.43	4.01	6.9	Watch
	1.39	4	7.5
	1.41	4.2	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 (1.41)	4.05 ↓ (4.2)	6.71 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcochetense
64.2%

Draw
22.3%

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

21.4%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

20.2%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcochetense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcochetense than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama Vidigueira than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Alcochetense - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', 🟥,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Alcochetense is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vasco da Gama is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Vasco da Gama may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alcochetense is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Alcochetense will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alcochetense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	GD Alcochetense	4	1	2	1	7:6	1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Alcochetense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
31.01.26	Moncarapachense - Alcochetense	1:3 ✺
17.01.26	Alcochetense - Comércio e Indústria	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Serpa - Alcochetense	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Alcochetense - Lagoa	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Oriental - Alcochetense	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLWW
- Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
25.01.26	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Oriental	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Alverca B - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	4:0 ✺
10.01.26	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Elvas	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Juventude de Évora	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Louletano - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
14.09.25	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Alcochetense	2:2

Alcochetense - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide