Match Info

MALTA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 18

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday

Location: The Sirens Stadium (St. Paul's Bay)


	Sirens		Gżira United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5	3.7	1.53
	4.75	3.75	1.6	Watch
	4.95	3.7	1.54
	4.99	3.55	1.7
	5	3.7	1.53
	5.06	3.6	1.61
	5	3.65	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.96 ↑ (3.74)	3.66 ↑ (3.46)	1.59 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sirens
18.2%

Draw
24.7%

Gżira United
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

26.3%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

25.4%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sirens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sirens's form might have worsened.

Gżira United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gżira United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sirens than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sirens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gżira United than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gżira United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cassar A. (C) 23. Asare B. 26. Borg S. 29. Donsu K. 10. Gilberto 6. Gomda H. 31. Jackson K. 3. Murillo D. 5. Owusu P. 9. Panayiotou H. 8. Pulis N.	30. Zarkov D. (G) 47. Borg B. 2. Carlos Chaba 21. Cassar Z. 7. Lubanzadio Aldama B. T. 11. Macula 98. Mendonza J. 16. Riascos L. 20. Romero F. 8. Scerri Z. (C) 93. Thiaguinho
Substitutes
96. Agius D. 18. Akadom H. 12. Akpan I. E. (G) 92. Bartolo Z. 11. Boateng F. 15. Ceesay E. 22. Cini A. 24. Grima M. (G) 99. Ilic O. 2. Matthews C. W. 77. Muscat K.	99. Aquilina G. 74. Boadu D. 4. Borg A. 1. Cassar D. (G) 14. Grech M. 15. Kabar H. 6. Knezevic T. 29. Pace D. 13. Pace M. 19. Spence K. C. 18. Taliana N.
Coaches
D'Amato S.	Cohen A.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation ~ Challenge League and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sirens won 0.

Sirens is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gżira is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gżira could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gżira is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sirens won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Sirens won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sirens FC
Maltese Premier League
18.02.24	Hamrun Spartans - Sirens	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Sirens - Marsaxlokk	1:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
06.02.24	Birkirkara - Sirens	1:0 ET ✺
Maltese Premier League
03.02.24	Mosta - Sirens	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	Sirens - Valletta	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTLTL
- Gżira United
Maltese Premier League
18.02.24	Gżira United - Gudja United	3:0 ✺
10.02.24	Naxxar Lions - Gżira United	0:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
07.02.24	Gżira United - Paola Hibernians	1:0 ✺
Maltese Premier League
04.02.24	Gżira United - Balzan	1:1 ✺
28.01.24	Paola Hibernians - Gżira United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
22.10.23	Gżira United - Sirens	1:0
12.02.23	Gżira United - Sirens	1:0
09.10.22	Sirens - Gżira United	0:3
12.03.22	Gżira United - Sirens	2:1
04.12.21	Sirens - Gżira United	1:3
05.12.20	Sirens - Gżira United	1:0
10.11.19	Gżira United - Sirens	0:1

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