Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 3

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Studenternas IP (Uppsala)

Referee: Mattsson E. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	VG+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen


	Sirius		Västerås SK

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	5	Watch
	1.65	3.85	4.8	Watch
	1.66	4.04	5.3
	1.63	4.08	5.13	Watch
	1.65	3.7	4.8
	1.64	3.92	4.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.89)	3.93 ↑ (3.55)	5 ↑ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sirius
57.4%

Draw
23.8%

Västerås SK
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

26.2%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

26%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sirius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sirius's performance.

Västerås SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Västerås SK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sirius than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sirius that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Västerås SK than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Västerås SK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Sirius - Västerås SK Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Sirius will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Celic D. (G) 5. Castegren H. (C) 2. Soumah M. 4. Anker T. 22. Krusnell O. 8. Nartey M. 10. Heier M. 6. Lindberg M. 17. Jonsson N. 9. Ure R. 11. Bjerkebo I.	34. Jager E. (G) 2. Magnusson H. 18. Nsabiyumva F. (C) 21. Wernersson V. 11. Gefvert S. 10. Ring J. 8. Diagne M. 3. Baggesen M. 17. Axel T. 9. Ladefoged M. 7. Boudah A.
Substitutes
25. Adindu O. 26. Andersson H. 1. Diawara I. (G) 20. Ekstrom V. 12. Hook I. 27. Magnusson B. 21. Nilden C. 7. Persson J. 24. Svensson V.	4. Bonde P. 27. Diallo M. 1. Fagerstrom A. (G) 5. Gunnarsson K. 15. Karlsson J. 20. Ljungqvist M. 14. Lushaku I. 19. Magnusson J. 24. Tagesson J.
Coaches
Engelmark A.	Rubin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Bjerkebo I. (Penalty Awarded),
31', 2 - 0, Bjerkebo I. (Penalty Awarded),
45+2', 3 - 0, Anker T. ⚽, Ure R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 3 - 1, Nsabiyumva F. ⚽, Baggesen M. (A),
57', Jonsson N. ↓, Persson J. ↑,
62', 4 - 1, Castegren H. ⚽, Krusnell O. (A),
70', Nartey M. ↓, Nilden C. ↑,
70', Magnusson H. ↓, Bonde P. ↑,
70', Ring J. ↓, Lushaku I. ↑,
78', Ladefoged M. ↓, Ljungqvist M. ↑,
78', Axel T. ↓, Gunnarsson K. ↑,
78', Baggesen M. ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
86', Ure R. ↓, Adindu O. ↑,
86', Heier M. ↓, Svensson V. ↑,
86', Bjerkebo I. ↓, Andersson H. ↑,
88', Lindberg M. 🟨,
90+1', Wernersson V. ↓, Tagesson J. ↑,

Preview

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, Sirius is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Sirius: Milleskog N. (Inactive)

We predict that Sirius will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sirius won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sirius won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sirius	23	17	3	3	53:28	25	54
6	Vasteras SK	23	10	5	8	34:36	-2	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IK Sirius
Swedish Allsvenskan
13.04.26	Sirius - Hammarby	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Degerfors - Sirius	0:3 ✺
Svenska Cupen
22.03.26	Hammarby - Sirius	4:3 penalties ✺
15.03.26	Sirius - IFK Göteborg	1:0 ET ✺
08.03.26	Elfsborg - Sirius	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWLWW
- Västerås SK FK
Swedish Allsvenskan
11.04.26	Västerås SK - Elfsborg	2:2 ✺
05.04.26	Kalmar - Västerås SK	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
28.03.26	Västerås SK - Sandviken	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Brommapojkarna - Västerås SK	2:2 ✺
15.03.26	Västerås SK - Östersund	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
31.08.24	Västerås SK - Sirius	1:2
20.05.24	Sirius - Västerås SK	0:0
Club Friendly
03.02.24	Sirius - Västerås SK	1:3
Svenska Cupen
29.02.20	Sirius - Västerås SK	0:3

Sirius - Västerås SK: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide