Match Info

TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 15

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Yeni 4 Eylül Stadyumu (Sivas)

Referee: Doman T. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
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Usa	beIN Connect
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World	Disney+, Fanatiz


	Sivasspor		Galatasaray

	1	X	2
	7.5	6	1.29	Watch
	8.25	6	1.28
	9.2	6.11	1.26	Watch
	8.68	6.26	1.29
	8.61	6.11	1.3	Watch
	9.5	6	1.25
	9.95	6.47	1.3	Watch
	9.2	6.11	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.86 ↑ (6.97)	6.13 ↑ (5.45)	1.28 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sivasspor
10.7%

Draw
15.4%

Galatasaray
73.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.5%

17.3%

69.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.1%

16.7%

71.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sivasspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Galatasaray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	5%	85%

Sivasspor - Galatasaray Predictions

Users Predictions: Galatasaray will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Nikolic D. (G) 7. Paluli M. 27. Sonko Sundberg N. 26. Radakovic U. 53. Basyigit E. 3. Ciftci U. (C) 55. Koita F. 8. Charisis C. 44. Poungouras A. 24. Rodrigues G. 9. Manaj R.	1. Muslera F. (C) 53. Yilmaz B. A. 90. Baltaci M. 6. Sanchez D. 18. Kutlu B. 34. Torreira L. 20. Gabriel Sara 7. Sallai R. 10. Mertens D. 11. Akgun Y. 45. Osimhen V.
Substitutes
77. Balde K. 46. Boke T. 14. Camara S. 58. Erdal Z. 21. Gokay E. 11. Menig Q. 10. Pritchard A. 90. Turgunboev A. 35. Vural A. (G) 6. Yigiter O.	83. Akman E. 5. Aydin E. 44. Batshuayi M. 8. Demirbay K. 33. Gurpuz G. 19. Guvenc G. (G) 24. Jelert E. 25. Nelsson V. 58. Yesilyurt A. 22. Ziyech H.
Coaches
Uygun B.	Buruk O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
1', Sonko Sundberg N. 🟨,
15', Baltaci M. 🟥,
25', 1 - 0, Rodrigues G. ⚽,
31', Koita F. 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, Akgun Y. ⚽, Kutlu B. (A),
45+8', Nikolic D. 🟨,
45+9', 1 - 2, Osimhen V. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Nikolic D. ↓, Vural A. ↑,
53', 1 - 3, Yilmaz B. A. ⚽, Akgun Y. (A),
58', Basyigit E. ↓, Pritchard A. ↑,
60', Mertens D. 🟨,
64', Mertens D. ↓, Jelert E. ↑,
64', Charisis C. ↓, Yigiter O. ↑,
73', Radakovic U. ↓, Boke T. ↑,
73', Rodrigues G. ↓, Balde K. ↑,
74', Osimhen V. ↓, Nelsson V. ↑,
74', Akgun Y. ↓, Batshuayi M. ↑,
77', Sallai R. 🟨,
78', Poungouras A. 🟨,
90', Torreira L. ↓, Akman E. ↑,
90', Gabriel Sara ↓, Demirbay K. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 3, Boke T. ⚽, Sonko Sundberg N. (A),
90+3', Batshuayi M. 🟨,
90+6', Manaj R. 🟨,
90+7', Demirbay K. 🟨,
90+7', Vural A. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sivasspor won 1.

Recent matches Sivasspor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Galatasaray is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sivasspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Galatasaray is certain favorite.

There will not play in Sivasspor: Albayrak M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Galatasaray: Bardakci A. (Ankle Injury) Icardi M. (Knee Injury) Jakobs I. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Galatasaray: Ayhan K. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Sivasspor won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 31:48 (average 1.6:2.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Sivasspor won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18:17 (average 1.8:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sivasspor
Turkish Super League
29.11.24	Antalyaspor - Sivasspor	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Sivasspor - Kasımpaşa	0:0 ✺
10.11.24	Fenerbahçe - Sivasspor	4:0 ✺
02.11.24	Sivasspor - Çaykur Rizespor	2:1 ✺
25.10.24	Adana Demirspor - Sivasspor	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTLWW
- Galatasaray
Turkish Super League
01.12.24	Galatasaray - Eyüpspor	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.11.24	AZ Alkmaar - Galatasaray	1:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
23.11.24	Bodrumspor - Galatasaray	0:1 ✺
10.11.24	Galatasaray - Samsunspor	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.11.24	Galatasaray - Tottenham Hotspur	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
05.05.24	Galatasaray - Sivasspor	6:1
11.01.24	Sivasspor - Galatasaray	1:1
20.05.23	Galatasaray - Sivasspor	2:0
29.12.22	Sivasspor - Galatasaray	1:2
01.05.22	Galatasaray - Sivasspor	2:3
13.12.21	Sivasspor - Galatasaray	1:0
07.03.21	Galatasaray - Sivasspor	2:2

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