Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 February 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: AFAS Stadion (Alkmaar) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 3
Argentina	17:00	ESPN 2
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
Azerbaijan	00:00	CBC Sport
Belgium	21:00	VOOsport World 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
China	04:00	ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	ESPN 2
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	21:00	Sport 2
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 3
Georgia	00:00	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	21:00	RTL+
Greece	22:00	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 7
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
India	01:30	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio, TV8
Japan	05:00	Wowow Prime
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Macao	04:00	TDM TV
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	14:00	ESPN 4, FOX Sports Premium
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport Premium 4
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	04:00	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport La Liga
South America	—	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
South Korea	05:00	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 4
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	23:00	Tabii, TRT 1
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 10, TNT Sports 3
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Inter
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus
International	20:00	Disney+


	AZ Alkmaar		Galatasaray

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.3	3.2
	2.3	3.3	3.1
				Watch
				Watch
	2.25	3.4	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.74)	3.33 ↓ (3.82)	3.13 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AZ Alkmaar
41.4%

Draw
28.4%

Galatasaray
30.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.8%

25%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

24.8%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AZ Alkmaar's performance.

Galatasaray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Galatasaray might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AZ Alkmaar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Galatasaray could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.1%	26.2%	19.7%

AZ Alkmaar - Galatasaray Predictions

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 33 - 55%). Galatasaray will win (votes: 12 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 42.4% – 67.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Owusu-Oduro R. (G) 16. Maikuma S. 3. Goes W. 5. Penetra 18. Wolfe D. M. 8. Clasie J. (C) 10. Mijnans S. 6. Koopmeiners P. 21. Poku E. 9. Parrott T. 23. Lahdo M.	1. Muslera F. (C) 23. Ayhan K. 26. Cuesta C. 42. Bardakci A. 24. Jelert E. 10. Mertens D. 18. Kutlu B. 20. Gabriel Sara 7. Sallai R. 77. Morata A. 53. Yilmaz B. A.
Substitutes
28. Buurmeester Z. 37. Daal R. 22. Dekker M. 34. de Wit M. 30. Kasius D. 4. Martins Indi B. 26. Smit K. 78. van Duijn S. 12. Verhulst H. (G) 41. Zoet J. (G)	83. Akman E. 72. Balta C. 90. Baltaci M. 8. Demirbay K. 30. Demir Y. 19. Guvenc G. (G) 68. Kocak F. 67. Lus B. 65. Subasi K. 50. Yilmaz J. (G)
Coaches
Martens M.	Buruk O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', Ayhan K. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Mijnans S. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Sallai R. ⚽,
37', 2 - 1, Parrott T. (Pen),
43', Bardakci A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', Wolfe D. M. 🟨,
51', Ayhan K. 🟨,
56', Mertens D. ↓, Demirbay K. ↑,
57', 3 - 1, Clasie J. ⚽, Poku E. (A),
59', Morata A. 🟨,
66', 4 - 1, Wolfe D. M. ⚽, Mijnans S. (A),
71', Kutlu B. ↓, Demir Y. ↑,
71', Jelert E. ↓, Baltaci M. ↑,
76', Clasie J. 🟨,
77', Maikuma S. ↓, Kasius D. ↑,
77', Koopmeiners P. ↓, Buurmeester Z. ↑,
83', Poku E. ↓, Smit K. ↑,
83', Lahdo M. ↓, Daal R. ↑,
90+1', Parrott T. ↓, van Duijn S. ↑,
90+3', Morata A. ↓, Lus B. ↑,
90+3', Gabriel Sara ↓, Akman E. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches AZ is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Galatasaray is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in AZ: Belic K. (Yellow Cards) Westerveld S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Galatasaray: Akgun Y. (Knee Injury) Aydin E. (Inactive) Frankowski P. (Inactive) Gurpuz G. (Inactive) Icardi M. (Knee Injury) Kutucu A. (Inactive) Lemina M. (Inactive) Osimhen V. (Yellow Cards) Sanchez D. (Yellow Cards) Torreira L. (Yellow Cards) Yilmaz J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in AZ: Sadiq I. (Injury) van Bommel R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Galatasaray: Jakobs I. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches AZ won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Including matches at home between the teams AZ won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie
09.02.25	AZ Alkmaar - Zwolle	2:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
06.02.25	AZ Alkmaar - Quick Boys	3:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
02.02.25	Willem II - AZ Alkmaar	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.01.25	Ferencvárosi - AZ Alkmaar	4:3 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
26.01.25	AZ Alkmaar - Sparta Rotterdam	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWWLL
- Galatasaray
Turkish Super League
09.02.25	Galatasaray - Adana Demirspor	Galatasaray awarded ✺
Turkish Cup
06.02.25	Boluspor - Galatasaray	1:4 ✺
Turkish Super League
03.02.25	Gaziantep - Galatasaray	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.01.25	Ajax - Galatasaray	2:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
25.01.25	Galatasaray - Konyaspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 ?WWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
28.11.24	AZ Alkmaar - Galatasaray	1:1

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