Match Info

TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 13

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Bodrum İlçe Stadı (Bodrum)

Referee: Metoglu M. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, ESPN 1
Asia	TOD
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 1, SportKlub
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	SportKlub 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
Montenegro	SportKlub
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2
Portugal	Sport TV5
South-africa	SuperSport ESPN
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Usa	beIN Connect
World	Disney+, Fanatiz


	Bodrumspor		Galatasaray

	1	X	2
	8	5	1.36	Watch
	7	5	1.37
	7.43	5.19	1.36
	7.92	5.2	1.38
	7.47	5.26	1.38	Watch
	7.5	5	1.36
	8.1	5.31	1.4	Watch
	7.43	5.19	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.61 ↑ (6.84)	5.14 ↑ (4.64)	1.37 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

Watch this match and Turkish Super League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS 4

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Current Win Probability

Bodrumspor
12.5%

Draw
18.4%

Galatasaray
69.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.8%

20.3%

65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4%

19.8%

67.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bodrumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Galatasaray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.4%	11.1%	81.5%

Bodrumspor - Galatasaray Predictions

Users Predictions: Galatasaray will win (22 of 25 users predict this - 88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.26% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
53. Akkan G. (G) 33. Celustka O. 15. Ajeti Ar. 23. Ergun U. 70. Bilsel E. 8. Yalcin S. 41. Bayrakdar G. 16. Fredy 5. Antalyali T. 7. Dimitrov Z. 9. Puscas G.	1. Muslera F. (G) 23. Ayhan K. 90. Baltaci M. 42. Bardakci A. 53. Yilmaz B. A. 34. Torreira L. 20. Gabriel Sara 7. Sallai R. 10. Mertens D. 11. Akgun Y. 45. Osimhen V.
Substitutes
21. Aslan A. 95. Basol O. 20. Brazao P. 48. Dumanli C. 1. Nogueira Sousa D. F. (G) 18. Obekpa G. 91. Ogruce E. 10. Ozer K. 99. Seferi T. 94. Sertkaya Y.	83. Akman E. 5. Aydin E. 44. Batshuayi M. 8. Demirbay K. 30. Demir Y. 19. Guvenc G. (G) 24. Jelert E. 18. Kutlu B. 25. Nelsson V. 22. Ziyech H.
Coaches
Demirel V.	Buruk O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Bilsel E. 🟨,
30', Akkan G. ↓, Nogueira Sousa D. F. ↑,
45', Bilsel E. 🟨,
45+3', Yalcin S. 🟨,
45+8', Bardakci A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Baltaci M. ↓, Batshuayi M. ↑,
54', 0 - 1, Batshuayi M. ⚽, Mertens D. (A),
62', Akgun Y. ↓, Ziyech H. ↑,
62', Ergun U. ↓, Aslan A. ↑,
62', Yalcin S. ↓, Seferi T. ↑,
68', Sallai R. 🟨,
72', Mertens D. ↓, Jelert E. ↑,
80', Puscas G. ↓, Dumanli C. ↑,
80', Antalyali T. ↓, Brazao P. ↑,
81', Demirel V. 🟨,
90+2', Ayhan K. ↓, Nelsson V. ↑,
90+2', Gabriel Sara ↓, Demirbay K. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

Bodrumspor is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Galatasaray is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently Galatasaray have a series of home games.

In this match Galatasaray is certain favorite.

There will not play in Bodrumspor: Akpinar T. (Shin Injury) Erdilman M. (Knee Injury) Ozdamar S. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Galatasaray: Icardi M. (Knee Injury) Jakobs I. (Knee Injury) Sanchez D. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Bodrumspor: Ergun U. (Ankle Injury) Herelle C. (Ankle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bodrumspor
Turkish Super League
09.11.24	Antalyaspor - Bodrumspor	3:2 ✺
03.11.24	Bodrumspor - Alanyaspor	0:0 ✺
27.10.24	Fenerbahçe - Bodrumspor	2:0 ✺
21.10.24	Bodrumspor - Çaykur Rizespor	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Kasımpaşa - Bodrumspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLLT
- Galatasaray
Turkish Super League
10.11.24	Galatasaray - Samsunspor	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.11.24	Galatasaray - Tottenham Hotspur	3:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
28.10.24	Galatasaray - Beşiktaş	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.10.24	Galatasaray - Elfsborg	4:3 ✺
Turkish Super League
19.10.24	Antalyaspor - Galatasaray	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWWW

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