Match Info

SWEDEN: Superettan - Round 23

Date: 18 September 2024, Wednesday

Location: Södermalms IP (Skövde)

Referee: Krsmanovic J. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 6, TV4 Play


	Skövde AIK		Varbergs BoIS

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
				Watch
				Watch
	3.05	3.35	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (3.12)	3.35 ↓ (3.54)	2.1 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skövde AIK
29.7%

Draw
27.1%

Varbergs BoIS
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

26.6%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

25.9%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skövde AIK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

The chances for Varbergs BoIS have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skövde AIK than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varbergs BoIS than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	33.3%	58.3%

Skövde AIK - Varbergs BoIS Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Skövde will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Varberg will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Varberg: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Zendejas A. (G) 19. Sorman S. 18. Tellgren E. 3. Schyberg F. (C) 20. Suljev A. 10. Abraham S. 8. Demirol A. 4. Drinic F. 11. Diagne M. 32. Bilalovic K. 13. Engstrom H.	29. Andersson F. (G) 12. Custovic K. 4. Dahlstrom N. 2. Broman G. (C) 24. Hellman E. 11. Bjerkebo I. 28. Sadiku E. 13. Edlund O. 14. Alfonsi O. 19. Appiah Nyarko K. 25. Abdulazeez Y.
Substitutes
6. Abraham E. 1. Frojd M. (G) 24. Hellichius F. 9. Ljubicic S. 21. Mikhail M. 99. Shhab S. 7. Skillermo E.	22. Frigell Jansson L. 16. Johansson A. 9. Kurochkin A. 10. Montiel D. 27. Olsson D. (G) 5. Sverrisson O. 7. Tranberg R.
Coaches
Abraham C.	Hansen R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Bjerkebo I. ⚽, Abdulazeez Y. (A),
45+3', Sadiku E. 🟨,
45+3', Bilalovic K. 🟨,
45+3', Diagne M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Drinic F. ↓, Ljubicic S. ↑,
51', Engstrom H. 🟨,
63', Custovic K. 🟨,
65', Alfonsi O. ↓, Kurochkin A. ↑,
65', Appiah Nyarko K. ↓, Johansson A. ↑,
66', Demirol A. ↓, Abraham E. ↑,
68', 0 - 2, Johansson A. ⚽, Kurochkin A. (A),
74', Abdulazeez Y. ↓, Tranberg R. ↑,
75', Bjerkebo I. ↓, Frigell Jansson L. ↑,
77', Abraham S. ↓, Shhab S. ↑,
77', Sorman S. 🟨,
83', 1 - 2, Diagne M. ⚽, Engstrom H. (A),
86', Bilalovic K. ↓, Hellichius F. ↑,
86', Suljev A. ↓, Mikhail M. ↑,
89', 2 - 2, Diagne M. ⚽,
90+3', Edlund O. ↓, Montiel D. ↑,
90+3', Diagne M. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Skövde is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Varberg is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Varberg will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Skövde won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Skövde won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Skövde AIK
Swedish Superettan
14.09.24	Sandviken - Skövde AIK	2:2 ✺
01.09.24	Skövde AIK - Gefle	0:1 ✺
25.08.24	Östersund - Skövde AIK	2:2 ✺
17.08.24	Skövde AIK - Helsingborg	1:3 ✺
09.08.24	Brage - Skövde AIK	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TLTLL
- Varbergs BoIS
Swedish Superettan
14.09.24	Oddevold - Varbergs BoIS	3:2 ✺
31.08.24	Varbergs BoIS - Utsikten	1:1 ✺
26.08.24	Landskrona - Varbergs BoIS	1:4 ✺
Svenska Cupen
22.08.24	Simrishamn - Varbergs BoIS	1:3 ✺
Swedish Superettan
16.08.24	Varbergs BoIS - Sundsvall	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
02.06.24	Varbergs BoIS - Skövde AIK	2:2
Svenska Cupen
20.08.14	Skövde AIK - Varbergs BoIS	4:5

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