Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-LIGAEN - ROUND 30

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Skeid		Kristiansund

	1	X	2
	6.5	5.25	1.44	Watch
	5.75	4.8	1.41
	6.5	5	1.42
	6.22	5.17	1.42
	6.22	5.17	1.42
	5.8	5	1.33
	6.35	5.25	1.4	Watch
	5.8	4.9	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.14 ↑ (4.38)	5.07 ↑ (4.27)	1.41 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skeid
15.2%

Draw
18.4%

Kristiansund
66.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

22.1%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

21.3%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skeid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Skeid's form might have worsened.

Kristiansund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kristiansund's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skeid than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Skeid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kristiansund than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kristiansund, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Skeid - Kristiansund Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Nilsen S. (G) 24. Johansen T. 4. Steiring P. (C) 3. Flo F. 19. Diallo O. 18. Sundgot O. 8. Melchior M. 7. Ness U. 27. Kvia-Egeskog S. 28. Williams N. 9. Buduson J.	30. Mbaye S. (G) 2. Nilsen S. 5. Ulvestad D. (C) 13. Olsen M. 15. Rakneberg M. 23. Bruseth H. 26. Williamsen M. 17. Willumsson B. 37. Sivertsen O. 9. Stokke B. 7. Gjertsen T.
Substitutes
33. Ali Alzubi M. 6. Eftedal I. 11. Hickson D. 5. Hoyland L. 1. Kvarekval L. (G)	35. Aalberg I. H. 38. Alemseged A. 34. Bakeng-Rogne A. 21. Broholm M. 33. Haugen H. 18. Jarl S. 12. Saether A. (G)
Coaches
Erlandsen A.	Skiri A. R.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Skeid is Relegated to

Kristiansund is Qualified for OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs )

Skeid is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kristiansund is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Kristiansund is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Skeid won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Skeid Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
05.11.23	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Skeid	1:0 ✺
28.10.23	Skeid - Jerv	0:1 ✺
22.10.23	Bryne - Skeid	1:0 ✺
07.10.23	Skeid - Sandnes Ulf	3:0 ✺
30.09.23	Mjøndalen - Skeid	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLLWL
- Kristiansund BK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
05.11.23	Kristiansund - Raufoss	1:2 ✺
28.10.23	Ranheim - Kristiansund	0:2 ✺
21.10.23	Kristiansund - Åsane	4:1 ✺
07.10.23	Hødd - Kristiansund	0:1 ✺
04.10.23	Sogndal - Kristiansund	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
29.05.23	Kristiansund - Skeid	2:2

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