Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 31

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Miejski Stadion Piłkarski MOSiR - artificial grass (Częstochowa)


	Skra Częstochowa		Ślęza Wrocław

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.6	3.65
	1.75	3.66	3.58
	1.77	4.02	3.57	Watch
	1.8	3.3	3.6
	1.75	3.74	3.82	Watch
	1.93	3.47	3.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.93)	3.63 ↑ (3.47)	3.55 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skra Częstochowa
50%

Draw
24.7%

Ślęza Wrocław
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

25.5%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

24%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skra Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Ślęza Wrocław has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ślęza Wrocław than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Skra Częstochowa - Ślęza Wrocław Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Kucharczyk O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
81', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 10).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Skra Częstochowa could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Skra Częstochowa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Skra Częstochowa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Sleza Wroclaw	11	3	1	7	17:26	-9	10

Last Results with these Odds

Ślęza Wrocław - the odds 3.09 are the expected chance of winning is 28.64%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Skra Częstochowa
Polish Division 3 - Group III
09.05.26	Skra Częstochowa - Górnik 2 Zabrze	1:2 ✺
01.05.26	Polonia Nysa - Skra Częstochowa	2:3 ✺
25.04.26	Skra Częstochowa - Starowice Dolne	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	Skra Częstochowa - Polkowice	0:3 ✺
04.04.26	Pniówek Pawłowice - Skra Częstochowa	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWLW
- Ślęza Wrocław
Polish Division 3 - Group III
08.05.26	Ślęza Wrocław - Miedź Legnica 2	3:2 ✺
01.05.26	Polkowice - Ślęza Wrocław	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Ślęza Wrocław	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Ślęza Wrocław - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	0:0 ✺
10.04.26	Carina Gubin - Ślęza Wrocław	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
24.10.25	Ślęza Wrocław - Skra Częstochowa	1:2
19.05.18	Skra Częstochowa - Ślęza Wrocław	1:1
14.10.17	Ślęza Wrocław - Skra Częstochowa	1:1

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