Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 24

Date: 17 March 2023, Friday

Location: GIEKSA Arena (Bełchatów)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport Extra


	Skra Częstochowa		Wisła Kraków

	1	X	2
	12	4.5	1.29
	10	4.6	1.3
	10	4.35	1.32
	6.4	3.9	1.47
	11.76	4.63	1.33
	12	4.33	1.25
	10.5	4.95	1.29	Watch
	9.9	4.5	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.32 ↑ (4.78)	4.47 ↑ (3.45)	1.32 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skra Częstochowa
9%

Draw
20.8%

Wisła Kraków
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.2%

26.6%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

26.3%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skra Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Skra Częstochowa's form might have worsened.

Wisła Kraków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wisła Kraków's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Skra Częstochowa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Kraków than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wisła Kraków, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15%	15%	70%

Skra Częstochowa - Wisła Kraków Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Skra Częstochowa will win (votes: 3 - 15%). Wisła will win (votes: 14 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wisła: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Recent matches Skra Częstochowa is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wisła in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Wisła is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Skra Częstochowa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Skra Częstochowa
Polish Division 1
12.03.23	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Skra Częstochowa	0:1 ✺
05.03.23	Skra Częstochowa - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:0 ✺
27.02.23	Termalica Nieciecza - Skra Częstochowa	1:0 ✺
19.02.23	Skra Częstochowa - ŁKS Łódź	1:2 ✺
13.02.23	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Skra Częstochowa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWLLL
- Wisła Kraków
Polish Division 1
11.03.23	Wisła Kraków - GKS Tychy	2:1 ✺
04.03.23	GKS Katowice - Wisła Kraków	1:3 ✺
24.02.23	Wisła Kraków - Odra Opole	2:1 ✺
18.02.23	Arka Gdynia - Wisła Kraków	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
11.02.23	Wisła Kraków - Garbarnia Kraków	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
20.08.22	Wisła Kraków - Skra Częstochowa	3:0

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