Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 33

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday

Location: Miejski Stadion Piłkarski MOSiR - artificial grass (Częstochowa)


	Skra Częstochowa		LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.45	3
	2.04	3.54	3.13	Watch
	2.02	3.52	3.11	Watch
	2.02	3.51	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (2.02)	3.51 (3.51)	3.03 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skra Częstochowa
44.4%

Draw
25.8%

LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

25.2%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

24.8%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skra Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Skra Częstochowa - LKS Goczałkowice Zdrój Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Sajdak P. ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, Golebiowski R. ⚽,
34', 3 - 0, Mikolajczyk J. ⚽,
42', 4 - 0, Mazanek T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 6).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Skra Częstochowa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Skra Częstochowa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Skra Częstochowa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Goczalkowice Zdroj	11	3	2	6	11:16	-5	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Skra Częstochowa
Polish Division 3 - Group III
16.05.26	Sparta Katowice - Skra Częstochowa	1:0 ✺
13.05.26	Skra Częstochowa - Ślęza Wrocław	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Skra Częstochowa - Górnik 2 Zabrze	1:2 ✺
01.05.26	Polonia Nysa - Skra Częstochowa	2:3 ✺
25.04.26	Skra Częstochowa - Starowice Dolne	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLWW
- LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój
Polish Division 3 - Group III
16.05.26	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Górnik 2 Zabrze	2:2 ✺
13.05.26	Kluczbork - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	3:0 ✺
08.05.26	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	0:1 ✺
01.05.26	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Carina Gubin	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
08.11.25	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Skra Częstochowa	1:1
Club Friendly
20.01.24	Skra Częstochowa - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	1:0

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